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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the dire times are done after this year....largely due to the Pacific, as descending solar post MAX is rough for -AO/NAO for a few years...but TBH, +AO/NAO and a great PAC is probably the ideal paradigm for NE in terms of snowfall.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    12z AI looks about dead-nuts on 00z.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Go back and look at the PNA ridge prior to the 1/11 fail...its like the spitting incarnation of this one.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    On paper, its a cold pattern that garners intrigue, but ultimately doesn't produce much.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    One obnoxious trend this season is for all of the PNA ridges to not only be west-based and positioned off of the west coast, but have a positively tilted, SW-NE lean that makes it very difficult to for anything to amplify enough to come up the coast.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would lean into oncoming traffic as an alternative.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    00z AI
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    The EURO is a compromise....GEM takes it over NNE. The EPS looks a hair N of the OP.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wonder if that seemingly omnipresent bundle of energy in the SW CONUS inhibits any subtle amplification of that clipper....may be more more likey for things to trend towards the GEM camp than the GFS.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro consistent with a NOP 1-3"...that looks reasonable to me.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    That was my best March in record...I could deal.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Look at my post count of late....
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, try having 4 kids under the age of 6, and you'll check out during a lull, too. No, I don't think its over.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just a guess....haven't researched obviously at this stage....but yes.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Mother Nature....thank you, mam, may I have another?
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    El Niño response next season would mean a big winter for the NE IMHO.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I expected below average snowfall, but this is challenging a record for my area...all for it, at this point...bottom out.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    No...I said the AO/NAO will probably be positive, which is great for NE when coupled with a favorable Pacific.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really don't care at this point...not sure whether or not you've noticed, but I have essentially checked out.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    It probably won't be...what is your point? PS: I thought it would be +5 to +7?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't complain one bit if it ended tomorrow...ready to cut my loses.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I pray. Maybe the most boring winter season my life.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Be honest about one thing...what would you be saying to folks like @MJO812at this point in the season if cold had been largely relegated to the long term charts Not to say that it won't warm up, because it will.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    -9.6
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Much lower confidence than 2023 and 2018...I was sure of those ones.
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