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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. You know damn well the moment we get the higher western ridge probe, it will insidiously be offset with more compression back east.
  2. It's always close....they never track over Hispanola.
  3. That is the point, though..TBH, I think his odds are reasonable, but there was no need for that clickbait post yet.
  4. Yea, I hovered at like 26-27 with sleet and you were just above freezing....your obs are how I knew where the CF was.
  5. Hopefully I get the sleet bomb...will be close.
  6. I was going to say...I highly doubt Mark avoids sleet.
  7. Eh...more to it than that, but sort of.
  8. I realized that the pattern out west looks similar to other failed attempts....I fell for it back in January, and started to here.
  9. This is why these big east coast storms are mirages that dissapear at closer lead times....its a sign of a flaw in the hemispheric construct this season. I'll bet this one will keep everyone scrambling for the needle on the street corner until about Tuesday, when it becomes apparent it will either fail entirely, or be a nusiance ordeal.
  10. I think the 24th has a better shot as it stands now, as it doesn't look to have that issue...ridege is still a bit too far west, but its better.
  11. That pattern out west isn't totally in our favor.....same issue we have had all season with the PNA ridge being slanted sw to ne off of the coast, and a closed low over the SW CONUS....take a look at the H5 chart for the failed 1/11 threat. Look familiar?
  12. I think my First Call is probably about a worst case right now.
  13. I'll probably hit 40 and lose a couple of inches.
  14. Yea, that one had a legit arctic antecedent airmass...that season flipped on a dime, despite the coast getting porked.
  15. One reason to hope for an amped trend this weekend.
  16. VD 2007 remained cold....CF got up to Reading, MA near rt 128.....stayed below freezing inland from there.
  17. That is a carbon copy of VD 2007 for SNE.
  18. We're doing better with the still shots from you...please, no movies.
  19. I knew you were going to flip that on me lol
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