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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Good luck not having the northern stream play any role whatsoever-
  2. I think the EURO AI performed admirably with respect to that fiasco last week, so I would have my eyes on that model.
  3. Yea...may have had a run at day 6, but pretty much.
  4. The key is consistency....it DID have the last system, but wasn't consistent.
  5. I think in terms of intensity, it usually delivers....but the issue is that the fast flow is resulting in deconstructive interference the vast majority of the time, which has inhibited both a timely and proficient phase, as well as the ability of precipitation to work up the coast.
  6. The failed system last week actually trended more strongly in the N stream, which is why it ultimately netted some of us with a solid advisory event, despite the collective chagrin in response to what may have been.
  7. The flip side is that while mom and baby are sleeping and the elder 3 kids are at daycare, dad needs a mother******* viable snowstorm to distract him.
  8. You're right. I need a break from posting unless I feel there's a reason to.
  9. You're right, Will....I guess I should be appreciative of the 5.5" I have....hey, better than a shut-out.
  10. I don't think that's it...STJ doesn't matter if the pattern isn't aligned to allow the moisture up the coast. ...you can have a firehose off of the Baja all season, if you have a PV sitting on your face it won't snow.
  11. 1976 was a great snow year for this area....tons of late-blooming Miller B systems. This year is like 1978-1979 and 1979-1980.
  12. The storm track has been vastly different than 2010-2011....but what's 90" in SNE between friends.
  13. Oh yea....plenty of that...but just pain-stakingly boring. Colder version of this year. The -PNA that year saved NE....but +PNA/-NAO combo this year has been a death-knell.
  14. I haven't even looked at that...just so meteorologically demoralized and resigned to failure. Something is just off-
  15. Better shot of me blogging about Kev's next colonoscopy.
  16. Man, I can't stand him. ...although I don't disagree that February has a decent shot at featuring above normal snowfall.....thing is that if I only get several more inches throughout January, a good February would still result in a near ratter type of season. Whiffing on December sucked, but it was manageable considering I expected a mild December...but whiffing on January snowfall is a game-changer.
  17. Wouldn't worry about it. I smell a rat...just saying....
  18. It does, but its a matter of when...probably not this year.
  19. Agree 100% and focused on that same period in my outlook, however, not feeling great about it right now.
  20. I certainly do not. January 2004 was very dry up here and the peak of the cold was more severe than Feb 2015...which of course was out snowmageddon.
  21. Euro had it for a few runs, but they weren't consecutive.
  22. We aren't there yet IMO....you also have to factor in that this year has in fact deviated from the prohibitively warm regime.
  23. I think we have already stated to see the beginning of the end of this longer term Pacific pattern, and will continue to see big changes throughout the 2nd half of this decade.
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