40/70 Benchmark

No, but it looks like January may be quits.

"Bend over and find that orifice to stuff "-

Well, given how much tropical activity is expected, its worth considering that high ACE La Nina seasons have been pretty good in the east.

Everything involving snow is suspect and not ideal.

I always say I learn more from the missed seasonal outlooks than I do the hits.

The big January flip worked out, but its too bad that the PV lobes were too close to one another. That said, its definitely been warmer than we both thought in the aggregate this season.

Sey-Mour Wedgie

He has been good this season.

I find that evolution awfully disapointing and hope that its wrong.

I may lose it if we find our way to February with nothing imminent after having succeeded in pulling that off....this is about the point at which I came unhinged last year.

This little pack is really resilient with the ice crust on top...

The EURO NARCAN has 2" down to between the MA/CT border and I 84 and 1" down to I84.

Yes, because they don't have the ferocity to induce significant upwelling.....but you know mean, I am always reflecting on larger events.

I'll bet I have a wedgie Thursday...hopefully no one picks it.

My pet peeve is when people post Sea SURFACE anomaly charts within the context of tropical discussions.......repeat after me.....Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential.

Fascinating discussion....sorry to be so IMBY centric, but I think the discussion point translates to others, as well.

Don't forget January 2022...

That is how I have alway felt.

Man, CC is pissah.....mutant phase 5 that swallows the world and only leaves -PDO....and every major snowstorm that we do get is a CJ. Hopefully I have dementia in 30 years, so weather will still be fun.

But does what I suggested makes sense? John seemed to think so.

Honestly contemplating whether this area will be a relative snow pit for the next 40, 50 years....plan on upgrading one more time soon and then that is it.

Shit, maybe I should relocate to the N shore.

My son was born then....it was frigid and dry...like 12 below here.

Yea, it's a relative snow min, but still beats the hell out of SNE....they actually were a jackpot zone in the December 2020 orgy, though....got into that band from NYS before it died.

I suggested last year to Will and Scott that perhaps my area getting boned relative to the region for so long was a some sort of manifestation of CC, but I couldn't quite articulate why....this would be the smoking gun, IMO.....less marginal events, which is where my area shines relative to the coast. An increasingly large percentage of our heavier snow events are coming during arctic infiltration, which leaves my area prone to that FU sliver of drier air from Maine that couples with subsistence downwind from the ascent from coastal front shenanigans to foster a relative min in snowfall for my area in larger events. We would ironically enough see more coastal, CJ jackpots in this situation as a result of CC. Fun k me.