40/70 Benchmark

Care to elaborate?

Maybe another back-loaded winter. Thanks for that research. Some Pacific help could mean a bit more of a favorable early season regime for the east coast relative to last season, though. IOW, while we may have to wait on any NAO help until later in the season, I think the PDO will be higher.

Lol SNE would take that blend. We'll see what happens....still so early.

Hopefully we can take another stab at weak el nino this year....I like 1.2 and 3 starting cold, anyway. Thanks for the feedback, Raindance...good stuff.

What are your thoughts on 1969-1970? Just starting to look at things, and this season catches my eye for some obvious and not so obvious reasons. Good work last year. I have learned a great deal from your way of looking at things.

Yea, I remember you posting about that. May very well hold some weight.

Yea, no one nailed it....some obviously better than others, but even those that got it "right" missed some key points. I was awful.

I agree. Very solid contributor.

My best event...man, that was the cherry on top of a pretty damn near perfect outlook. There was only one direction to go, and sure enough, this season went in it. lol

Mixed results in this area on second year el ninos...87-88 was meh, but 77-78 was great.

Is this why you were suggestion that some residual impact from Pinatubo may have contributed to the abysmal arctic regime of the 1994-1995 winter?

BTW, I actually started suspecting my area was going to jack just before and as the event started.... 1) It began as rain, which oddly enough excited me because I knew damn well KPYM wasn't going to jack and the system was a bit west and warmer than progged. 2) The death band moved near Montaulk PT, which is a pretty good proxy for systems that nail my area. As an aside, I think this season would have made a run for the seasonal record had a weak el nino developed as I had thought last summer...no way we would have punted Feb.

That, and I was awake for the peak of this one. I crashed at midnight with 1' in the ground in 1997. 3.62LE on 4/1 vs 1.7" on 3/13? No contest, there.

You're right. I just checked the pic...24.7". My bad.

To answer your other question....I think April 1997 was much more impressive, but I enjoyed this one the most.

No, I know.....not at all being defensive. I'm serious.....would like analysis from someone skilled to corroborate.

Don't be afraid to be honest...if you want to call BS, please do....I stand by it, and I think your work will confirm that. Appreciate the analysis. FYI...check out the Reading, MA coop for April 1997...total snowfall was 27", but max depth was 21". My max depth was 23.7"..snowfall 31".

Scott, here is my second clearing at 5pm.....20.5" First clearing was 8" at 11am. I received over 4"/hr rates between about 5 and 7pm.

I added a pretty extensive passage regarding this. PS: The Reading coop made up with the 1.7" that I had estimated. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/meteorological-deflategate-editorial.html

Not a whiteboard, but I had other flat surfaces to ensure that that depth was representative, which it was and always is. Very protected area...depth was a pretty uniform 24"+.

Agree.

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/meteorological-deflategate-editorial.html

No qualm with this, and I agree....my point isn't that some folks are foolish for not agreeing that Wilmington has the largest cryophallic in the land, but rather that we need to have one universal method. Chances are that I didn't get the absolute most snow, but its even more likely that we'll never know because its apples to oranges and we need to fix that.

I need clarification. I'm punching out a blog.

The problem with max depth is that you need to be retired and/or have no life to accurately capture that consistently. Why are airports permitted to employ the 6 hourly method and not any other entity or person?