40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Jan 96, Feb 06..
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I'm not talking about any single determinnistic run.
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Take a look at our top ten events...littered with Miller B. That said, good signal for a significant event.
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The setup favors a hugger.
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We will have dry slot and precip type issues, most likely, but lets get the storm first.
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Yea, not a fan of Miller A...someone in our area will get porked. Take it to the bank.
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Pretty simple concept...it just means that there is increased variability regarding potential track...less of that with a block, hence you don't have to thread the needle.
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I was selling the EURO idea of a big NYC blizzard. Cweat and I were all over that. I remember I had to duck for cover in the NYC thread.
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Yea, you would do better than I would in that case.
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I think the ceiling for us is a moderate event. If it phases big time, then its going to hug the shore, like Boxing day with a more tepid airmass.
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Early thoughts on Super Bowl Sunday. Slightly better look than this weekend, but don't expect blockbuster snows. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/rainy-saturday-night-super-bowl-sunday.html
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Yea, I get it. I do expect gradual improvement throughout February, so I see why people were confused by that. I agree with you on a better EPO than PNA.
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Its a long shot anytime soon, agree.
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Dec was good for alot of the area, too.
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I just mean that is my favored time slot for a KU..doesn't mean palm trees, beforehand. Anyway, sorry to derail....hopefully it flips soon
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Not a bad trait, btw...just saying...
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I can see how it fails, too...not making the same mistake I did last year, when I was onnoxiously overconfident. I get it...but I think there is still plenty of time.
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I don't know, you tell me...you like to challenge people. Lol
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February 17-March 2 -"Beware an eventful president's day should blocking establish itself. February 17-March 2nd may be conducive."-
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I think Feb should be decent, but if the pole and atl stay hostile, there is bust potential. Doesn't mean it can't snow before then...I,just feel the largest potential will be later.
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I was waiting for you to say that. Take a look at the date ranges in my outlook. 12-5 to 12-19, which missed by two days, and 2-17 to 3-2. Check your facts. Just because I don't call for April in February doesn't mean I think it's Feb 1969.
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Yea, I wouldn't expect a huge hit for us...I think from around president's day into early March will be more favorable for something closer to the magnitude of the early December event. It could be decent, though...probably some precip type issues.
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I know east based NAOs are not nearly as favorable, like ENSO events.
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The crap Pacific is expected. It may take until March, but the polar domain should improve...nothing epic, but solid. Remember when I told you in November that we will need the atlantic for a good second half?
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Not worried yet.
