40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, I mean......first week of December fresh on the heels of a month of PAC jet makes it difficult to snow in most of SNE.
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Pretty good bet, but I still don't think most of SNE sees much snow.
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I still don't see anything that encourages me to stray from my second week of Dec idea with respect to snow.
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I won't be surprised if that ridging backs off some....was not expecting that, but I would take it.
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How do you not see the western ridging? If you are saying that it will not verify, fine, buts its there....
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2021 holidays will be epic.
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Yes. Its been like that for like 5 years.
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The Pacific flow is done when the calendar flips...the PAC air is gone after the first week of December.
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My holidays are going to verify just fine.
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Serious.
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It starts with T Giving for me...sets the mood and tone for the holiday season/winter.
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Glad we will be in Methuen, instead of Wilmington this season....may chop a few degrees off.
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Thank god....much rather have Thanksgiving dinner amid cloudy skies and temps near 40, as opposed to sunny and 60. Now it will feel like a holiday.
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I think you read a bit too much into that....all I meant was a neutral NAO beats the hell out of the exotic positives that we have grown accustomed to. I never said its the entire story HAHA. I lived through 2009-2010 here in SNE, so trust that I know a negative NAO is not a panacea. lol You are also correct that there is more to the NAO domain than the assigned numerical index value.
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People are getting wayyyyy ahead of themselves with this. Lets gain a measure of confidence for a serviceable pattern here in NE, before hoisting the warnings for NC.
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Does the reason begin with an "H", and end with an "L"...?
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The NAO help isn't a surprise to me, but I did not expect PNA in December....that would be a welcome addition.
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I knew all of the bridge jumping over December was BS. Just let it play out...
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That doesn't look bad...especially week 3.
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I like that....maybe your most valuable contribution all fall.
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Where is Kevin and his sleigh full of weenies when you need them...
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Yea, the NAO is only helpful if you have cold air already in place...in this case, rather run this risk of a hugger, than have a good track with no cold.
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I only used it as a secondary analog because of the ONI and MEI criteria that I employed, but that season is one of the better sensible weather analogs for how I see this winter playing out. Even the blocking just east of Greenland was a very prevalent feature in my composite.
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Do you mean due to the stagnation of a neg NAO...IE, not allowing the old Pac puke to bleed out?
