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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. Kind of a "bleh" effort on this one, as I hedged towards a northern tic that never came to fruition. Thus issued a flawed forecast for what should have been a lay up. Didn't bother to update Friday, since I was already checked out. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/04/spring-snows-verification.html
  2. Nice..congrats. Obviously the Euro returns to form when I doubt it.
  3. Told you the season wasn't finished.
  4. Could be more than 3" in the highest spots of CT....we'll see...
  5. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/04/early-saturday-spring-snows.html
  6. Are you getting Kev drunk again?
  7. I'll go 1-3" from I84 points north to the NH border, with 4"+ lollis in southern ORH hills and NE CT/NW RI hills
  8. Its lower here on the edge. Those totals looks south at 12z to me.
  9. I think may area did well in that....I vaguely remember it.
  10. It sucks that this pattern wasn't 3-4 weeks faster in materializing....we could have made a mini March 2018 run.
  11. March, like the rest of the winter, sans December, verified milder than anticipated with less snow. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/04/march-verification.html This is all due to the fact that it took blocking about 2-4 weeks longer than anticipated to develop later in the season. The RNA was very well forecast. I will write more in depth about the seasonal verification this spring, but the snowfall outlook was heavily flawed once again due to forecasting error in within the polar domain. Slightly better than last season's effort.
  12. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/04/march-verification.html March Review Here we our expressed thoughts relative to March back in November: "Winter will be waning long before month's end in the absence of high latitude blocking, given the hellacious southeast ridge in place. However, at least some sustained blocking is likely. And since there will be cold air lurking to the north at the very least, this does not look like a "dead-ratter", even without blocking. Temperatures should average around 1 degree below normal in New England, and around normal in the mid atlantic". - Eastern Mass Weather 11-13-19 Here is how the month actually verified in terms of temperature anomalies: The month was much milder and featured less snowfall than anticipated across southern New England. This due to the fact that while the RNA pattern was every bit as prevalent as anticipated, the expected blocking did not materialize until the tail end of the month. This had the most profound impact on the southern New England region, where the mean monthly temperature departure averaged near +4F, as opposed to the forecast -1 anomaly. The forecast was much more accurate across northern New England, where the nearby cold created more opportunities for snow, as well as the mid atlantic, where milder weather was expected.
  13. Wish we got this a few weeks ago like I had hoped. Need one bowling ball to approach normal. I really need the mid atlantic to get some snow.
  14. Outside shot, but a very real one. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/03/winters-final-act-question-of-delayed.html
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