40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Its mostly Bob with the drought fetish.
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A Dec PNA could be a big deal for the mid atl...game changer IMO.
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Yea, I could miss on that. I am nervous about that portion of my call right now. However, I like my forecast for a near neutral PNA on a seasonal level. All things considered, I think I am looking better than the consensus for the month of December.
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Keep in mind, though....IMO, we aren't going to have the big seasonal RNA that many assume. The PNA will likely average neutral or even slightly positive.
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My thought has always been after xmas and potentially beyond the first week of January for a deterioration...but the big PNA is a surprise to me, and I would think that would be more fleeting. I think the polar domain and EPO will take a bit longer to go to crap.
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Some of these exotically warm ratter calls have the potential to be over before they begin.
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I still think it will trend more progressive, but the idea of a a big rain event is gaining steam.
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But the question is whether it is done with you lol
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I still think you will see it....not that it will mean snow for us, but....
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Dec 1995 is probably the best pre holiday stretch....2007 and 2008 had more snow, but each had grinches.
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I will probably stick w wxbell and eurowx. Less need for the speed of data with the prominence of social media today.
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How are their graphics? I hate the color scheme...only thing that lures me is the quick data reception. I usually do wxbell, which has great graphics, and Eurowx....which the best snowmaps and allows me to draw maps.
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Interesting...I wonder if that protracts things into a serviceable January, as well.
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...or over the course of the next couple of @Typhoon Tip posts.
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Nearing the time to fire up the model subscriptions and post-outlook blog.
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Restitution from the ENSO gods for the past two still-born Modoki el nino events.
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That is something right out of the modoki el nino December playbook.
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I would be absolutely stunned if we make it to 12/15 without another plowable event for the Boston area. I'm not really sweating it...
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Yea, I have no issue with a Detroit Demolition......bring it on.
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Yea, I couldn't care less what it does....just stating what I think.
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I'm betting it trends more progressive.
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After xmas, I'd entertain it.
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Yea, I mean......first week of December fresh on the heels of a month of PAC jet makes it difficult to snow in most of SNE.
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Pretty good bet, but I still don't think most of SNE sees much snow.
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I still don't see anything that encourages me to stray from my second week of Dec idea with respect to snow.
