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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Gotcha...more of just skepticism that they are pinning this down correctly at such a large lead time.
  2. Jesus, really? I had 25" in Wilmington...22" on the level. I am shocked you did that poorly only a few miles west.
  3. The absence of a PNA ridge and slow moving NE us impact are not mutually exclusive, though....granted the block was epic, but look at Feb 1969.
  4. I agree with you, TBH....I just made a blog post yesterday about how I expected a parade of moderate systems. I'm going to give this through the weekend to adjust expectations larger.
  5. Right...its not to the point where it will miss, I don't think. Even so, I'd still prefer if developed a bit later when push comes to shove.
  6. Early 2010, but it doesn't mean we won't get it....just making the analogy because they developed further to the south, as well.
  7. Looks like a miller B that is displaced to the south because of the block...almost like something out of 2010.
  8. I would, too, but it should make it past Boston.
  9. That is one hell of a CF right near me YUM YUM
  10. Its going to be a call that will need to be made by staring at the sounding the night before.....like our last event in interior eastern MA.
  11. The banding on the edge of this will be insane with that high...isentropic lift will be nuts.
  12. I think we can start to gain some measure of confidence with respect to the general position of the large scale players.
  13. Not only precip type, but you have to wonder how quickly we see phasing, as it will be tough for H5 to go kablooie (if it does) that far south...precip in general maybe less down there.
  14. The Pacific is the reason why I was not optimistic for December mid atl snow in my outlook. I like them more in the second half.
  15. Go under teleconnections if you have wxbell
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