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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tom, same page...that is the rationale that is utilized in the outlook back on 11/5. While I would like us to verify, I would also like a February 2015 redux, so forgive me for being a bit torn. lol I feel as though even if we are correct about February, there could still be a substantial phase change event early in the month. @LibertyBell I am also with Tom as to having some hope for March...hopefully its not like last season where the it happens too late.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Carol.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    No...it was a SNE HECS, Cleveland Super Bomb, SNE BECS.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was gonna say, but didn't care enough...
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been saying that 1/16 to 1/17 is the first bonafide threat.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Watch it pull a 1978.....January 26, 1978-
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    You wonder if long range guidance refusing to ever avail of a great pattern in any of the runs is actually a good sign...
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Please keep us posted
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was suprised, too....I only had a coating on Jan 8, then 20.5" Jan 12, 5" Jan 18, 1" Jan 19, 8.5" Jan 21, .5" Jan 25, 12.5" Jan 26-27, 13.5" Feb 1-2, 2" Feb 7-8
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have always been in your camp that the PV recovers in Feb, but Cohen is saying this is indeed a major event by definition.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've seen him online, but nothing to really post about.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking back at my records, Jan 2011 didn't really get going until the blizzard on the 12th....seasonal totals were pretty comparable to right now. Still time....again, I'm betting against a repeat of that, but the big tickets are unlikely to really show before 3-5 days lead time.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotta love how everyone has mourned the scarcity of the NAO over the past several years, now we have it for a month and a half and it's netted one warning event that still deposited the very heavy snows well north and inland. Lol
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey @Isotherm, why is it that this article views the SSW as major, and you do not? Thanks.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure I buy the antecedent pattern being a big deal going into the SSW....sure, a good pattern already in place can't hurt, but look at Feb 2018...it was like 60-70 all month, then all hell broke loose.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. That is the potential monkey wrench in the warm Feb idea....could be like a Feb 2001, or Feb 96.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Too bad every SSW wasn't like Feb 2018.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I assume you preordered an ebook for Megan as a xmas gift?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    The SSW is going to eat us all
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro was close.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Calling for a mid month cutter following the next two whiffs will certainly do just that.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just feel like while the long wave trough is great, the timing of the shortwaves is just off for our area. They blow up either west of us or east of us.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking at the EPS, I still notice that annoying tendency for waves to dampen out as they approach our longitude. Next real shot looks to be on 1/16, or thereabouts.
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