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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. For those wondering, this confirms why I was not a fan of the NAM. It is NOT 12" or more like the crack clowns suggest.
  2. Exactly...it will take a near perfect RGEM like evolution for our area to get nailed, or else we get hosed again. I do not buy the retarded clown maps if we don't end up in the mid level banding.
  3. Exactly the issue...it ill probably happen to late for most of us. We'll see...just my hunch.
  4. I agree. I'm not worried about OTS....larger concern is a later capture.
  5. I need a later capture for big totals. I'm not relaying on a simple compromise with respect to how far nw deformation makes it...that is always farthest NW guidance, and then some.Look at last event....only model that had it far enough NW was GEM.
  6. This is my hope...later capture. I'd rather risk a graze than subsidence again. Not a popular opinion, I'm sure, but I won't start caring now.
  7. I feel like if this explodes and captures near the Maratimes, which it probably will, you can kiss next wknd good bye and hold your stratosphere charts tightly in the footie jammies. At least we get to see that freak screaming incoherently on youtube from New Foundland.
  8. I'd rather see the grass for 5 extra days and get a blizzard next weekend.
  9. Personally, I'd rather this one never capture and just get the fu@# out. I'd gladly trade the 4" of fluff for the whole system to disappear.
  10. We probably get a few to several inches from the primary ULL, but that retro post occlusion BS is an artifact of modeling.
  11. I would be absolutely stunned if the earlier capture were to be correct.... @RUNNAWAYICEBERG See, that isn't an IMBY thing with me. In this case, it means less snow here.
  12. I was thinking the same thing...sell that post occlusion 6-10" over SNE.
  13. Agree. Open-closed case for Euro evolution in my eyes. Congrats downeast.
  14. And you would find a way to use nonsense to limit snowfall at 1000' in January through warm ground.
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