coastalplainsnowman
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About coastalplainsnowman

- Currently Viewing Topic: It's coming 1/31-2/1
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KFRG
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Gender
Not Telling
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Location:
SE Nassau
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Crushes Forum Spectacularly, apparently
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If it's a hit, you must acquit.
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Calling it "Snow Sandy" is gold.
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I'm sure. Democratization of the models has taken off exponentially, it feels like since last year. I know that probably sounds funny coming from hobbyists-at-best like me. Put it this way: if you told me even two years ago that in 2026 my wife would be yelling to me from the other room that 'my guy is saying that the GFS is giving us a lot of snow but that the NAM has more sleet' I would have laughed. Yet here we are.
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Great. More white sand beach 'replenished' with dirt. Who do they think they're fooling? Just say "sorry, we had to replace it with dirt."
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A Tuesday and a Friday. Stuck in slow traffic in the snow in the Tuesday storm, with the 1010 WINS guy saying it's looking like we'll have a repeat on Friday, which of course materialized. Best snow on snow to date for me. Neither tremendous in its own right, but with both what was on the ground already and what fell on the Friday both being substantial - it was great.
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January 2026 OBS and Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Shoot, Sunday is February. Sun angle is definitely going to play a role in this one. -
January 2026 OBS and Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
".. a very special crossover episode of American Weather" -
Ratios must be really good here, because other than for a short time between 7:45 and 8:15 this morning it really hasn't looked like much. Yet an average of four measurements has me at 3.75."
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Hopefully that sleet line hits the kind of traffic I run into every time I go from DC to LI. Let it sit on the Belt for 2 hours too before it makes its way out to me.
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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I looked this up the other day and posted about it - I'll go back and find it. The formula is surprisingly straight forward. It does not take location into effect, just accumulations, land area, and population. Edit: Found it. Pasting it in here b/c I can't figure out how to include a link to the original post. As you can see it uses an example. I'm not clear on the summation part, but am just speaking here to the variables apparently used in the formula. I'm sure there's someone on here much smarter than me about this who can correct me. -
Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Frigid but calm is great. -
Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
As always it's about expectations rather than actual accumulations, to a silly extreme. Once you get the idea in your head that someone is going to give you 12 to 18 hundred dollars, and they only give you 6 hundred, there's actually sadness, even though virtually any other week of any winter in the last three years you'd be thrilled if someone handed you 600 dollars. -
January 2026 OBS and Discussion
coastalplainsnowman replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I noticed that my Sunday overnight forecast changed from "Wintry Mix" to "Snow/Sleet", while all the totals remained the same. Does anyone know if Is there actually a technical definition of "Wintry Mix"? Was it changed to "Snow/Sleet" because "Wintry Mix" actually means snow, sleet, and freezing rain, and freezing rain is now no longer expected, or something along those lines? Or is it arbitrary? -
Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26
coastalplainsnowman replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
How does that old saying go? When snowman19 appears in the thread, that means 6 more inches of sleet? Just kidding, appreciate your pov..
