SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Wow ohio is looking good! NY state gonna get largely screwed though.

Euro and GFS ops now both have precip for Erie/Cleveland. That was gonna be my target. I'd hate to drive hours out there with 2 young kids and have clouds. I'm hoping for either a clear cut sunny day forecast or clear clouds. 50/50 is gonna be a tough call.

GEFS skunks the entire path basically, socked in the whole way across CONUS.

We’re done, final grade, B- because we had a week of actual winter.

I’ll call it a quarter inch

New HRRR is dry as a bone, 0.14 QPF for dc.

Blend everything and it’s an easy 2-4. Not sure what the handwringing is about here, this was never supposed to last more than a few hours. Hard to get 4-6 inches that quick with a clipper type system in dc but still it’s not out the question.

Silly question - when you guys know a new model run has dropped do you check the model first or the thread first? 44/18

Acceptable, would be nice to have some high pressure to the north but beggars can't be choosers.

Wow almost 2 inches of QPF in like 6 hours lol on this storm.

GFS 0.6 qpf for DC

This model has done a terrible job with just about every event this winter.

Another great run, almost 5 inches in dc on the 10:1 map.

Yeah, maybe, but whenever in reent memory we were waiting on a 10+ degree temp drop in order to get snow without any arctic air nearby, the warmer models are usually right.

skunks the entire 95 corridor up through NYC and boston, warm and not much snow.