Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations

[cstrunk]

Slight risk for severe thunderstorms in parts of N/NE Texas this evening, if the cap can break. If North Texas can see more sun today, there will be a higher chance of storms. Large hail would be the main threat, but all hazards would be possible. The HRRR shows storms firing over DFW around 6 pm. Higher threats exist farther northeast in Arkansas/Tennessee.

Similar story tomorrow for parts of Central/East Texas. Higher severe threats farther east into southern Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.

[Stx_Thunder]

Very destructive and interesting convective factors that lead to a (120 mph) straight-line wind event last Friday, over the mid-coast region around Point Comfort near Matagorda Bay. In the Victoria area.

That max. recorded wind gust was even stronger than the EF-1 tornado damage (110 mph) that was surveyed in Victoria county that same day. And from the same, quite large & intense thunder cluster that developed near SAT around midday and intensified heading east-southeast toward the mid-upper coast in the early afternoon. Both that system and several other clusters late Thursday night - early Friday traveling W - E along the I-10 corridor from Del Rio - Houston (behind sfc cold front), also had a good amount of powerful + CG lightning strikes.