2026 forecast contest thread -- enter your Feb 2026 forecasts

[PositiveEPOEnjoyer]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

+0.9   +0.5    +0.3   +2.4   +2.0   +2.9   +3.0   +0.5   +0.8

[Rjay]

DCA: -5.0

 

 

 

NYC: -5.0

 

 

 

BOS: -5.0

 

 

 

ORD: -2.5

 

 

 

ATL: -2.2

 

 

 

IAH: +3.0

 

 

 

DEN: +3.3

 

 

 

PHX: +3.0

 

 

 

SEA: +2.2

[dmillz25]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

-3.0  -3.0  -2.5  -1.5   0.0  +1.5  +3.0 +3.5 +3.0

[Roger Smith]

Table of forecasts for February 2026

 

FORECASTER _____________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

 

PositiveEPO Enjoyer ______ +0.9 _+0.5 _+0.3 __+2.4 _+2.0 _+2.9  __+3.0 _+0.5 _+0.8

Scotty Lightning ___________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __+1.0 _ +1.5 _ +0.5

____ Normal ________________0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 

BKViking __________________-2.0 _ -2.5 _ -2.5 __ -2.2 _ -1.0 _ +1.0 __ +1.3 _ +1.2 _ +0.8

so_whats_happening ______-2.2 _ -2.3 _ -2.5 __ -1.0 _ -0.4 _ +0.9 __ +2.1 _ +2.4 _ +1.6

hudsonvalley21 ____________-2.6 _ -2.9 _ -2.8 __ -2.7 _ -0.5 _ +0.3 __ +2.6 _ +2.1 _ +2.3

wxallannj __________________-3.0 _ -2.8 _ -2.6 __ -0.5 _ -1.2 _ +0.4 __ +2.0 _ +2.5 _ +1.5

dmillz25 ___________________-3.0 _ -3.0 _ -2.5 __ -1.5 __ 0.0 _ +1.5 __ +3.0 _ +3.5 _ +3.0 

____ Consensus __________ -3.0 _ -3.0 _ -2.8 __ -1.9 _ -1.0 _ +0.7 __ +2.1 _ +2.4 _ +2.0 

DonSutherland1 ___________-3.0 _ -3.3 _ -3.3 __ -0.3 _ -1.5 _ +1.8 __ +5.0 _ +3.4 _ +3.6

wxdude64 ________________ -3.4 _ -3.1 _ -2.8 __ -1.9 _ -0.9 _ -0.4 __ +1.7 _ +2.4 _ +2.1

Tom _______________________-4.2 _ -4.5 _ -4.6 __ -2.6 _ -2.8 _ -0.6 __ +3.4 _ +2.8 _ +3.7

RJay _______________________-5.0 _ -5.0 _ -5.0 __ -2.5 _ -2.2 _ +3.0 __ +3.3 _+3.0 _+2.2 

Roger Smith _______________-5.5 _ -6.0 _ -6.5 __ -6.5 _ -6.0 _ -5.0 __ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0

RodneyS __________________-8.5 _ -9.0 _ -8.9 __ -3.7 _ -2.5 _ +0.7 __ +2.9 _ +2.4 _ +1.2

_____________________________________

Persistence (Jan 2026) ___ -4.2 _ -3.3 _ -1.9 __ -3.3 _ +0.4 _ +0.9 __ +2.7 _ +4.3 _ +0.6

==============================

will add color codes later, will have to consider whether or not warmest should be dual-format depending on next month entries. 

(having a one and done as warmest should be along with warmest regular forecaster for extreme forecast designations but if the new entrant makes more forecasts then they would have exclusive access for designation)

(coldest forecasts are mostly among last two entries shown, except for western region where BKV or SL have them)

All of our western forecasts are above normal. All but a few eastern and ORD-ATL are below. IAH is more variable. 

<<< table will be adjusted if further entries are received >>>

[Roger Smith]

Today, just bringing over the 2025-26 snowfall contest entries from the previous contest year thread. 

 

____ Table of Snowfall forecasts for winter 2025-26 ____

 

FORECASTER __________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ORD _DTW _BUF ___ DEN _SEA _BTV

wxallannj _______________________23.0 _28.0 _ 28.0 __45.0 _44.0 _89.0 ___44.0 _18.0 _ 99.0

Tom ____________________________ 19.5 _ 31.1 _ 44.5 __ 40.1 _42.4 _102.4 __ 54.8 _ 6.1 _ 81.4  

hudsonvalley21 ________________ 18.0 _ 22.0 _ 31.0 __ 32.0 _42.0 _93.0 ___52.0 _ 4.0 _ 88.0

wxdude64 _____________________ 15.6 _ 28.6 _ 41.1 ___30.3 _45.5_ 101.5 ___ 66.2 _ 4.7 _ 93.3

BKViking _______________________ 15.0 _ 32.0 _ 41.0 __40.0 _22.0_ 96.0 ___ 58.0 _13.0 _ 80.0     

Rjay ____________________________ 15.0 _ 21.0 _ 44.0 __50.0 _33.0_ 100.0 ___65.0 _ 6.0 _ 90.0

___ Consensus _________________ 15.0 _ 22.5 _ 39.5 __40.1 _42.2 _ 94.5 ___ 55.2 _ 6.1 _ 87.5  

Scotty Lightning _______________ 15.0 _ 20.0 _ 25.0 __ 30.0 _45.0 _85.0 ___ 50.0 _ 5.0 _ 95.0

so_whats_happening __________ 14.0 _ 23.0 _ 39.0 __ 42.0 _40.0 _91.0 ___ 38.0 _ 4.0 _ 87.0

Roger Smith ____________________12.8 _ 25.6 _ 50.7 __ 57.3 _ 61.5 _115.7 ___ 70.0 _12.5 _ 88.8

DonSutherland1 ________________10.0 _ 20.0 _ 40.0 __ 37.5 _45.0 _ 92.0 ___ 40.0 _ 6.5 _ 80.0

RodneyS ________________________ 6.7 _ 18.9 _ 35.7 __ 44.4 _49.1 _ 99.9 ___ 55.6 _ 9.1 _ 70.4

Mercurial ________________________1.0 _ 10.0 _ 20.0 __ 30.0 _ 30.0 _70.0 ___ 65.0 _ 6.0 _ 60.0

___ snowfall to date (Dec 31) ____8.6 _21.2 __41.1 ___ 32.1 __36.3 _77.6 ___13.4 _ 0.0 _ 62.0

% of consensus to date ________ 57 __ 94 ___104 ____ 80 __ 86 ___ 82 _____ 24 __ 0 ___ 71   

Forecasts surpassed ____________ 2 ___ 5 ___ 8 ______ 4 ____ 3 ____ 1 _______ 0 ___ 0 __ 1

=====================

Consensus for snowfall is the median of 12 forecasts