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Tropical Storm Erin - NOW 70MPH


Predict her peak  

22 members have voted

  1. 1. Predict Erin’s peak

    • Tropical storm
      0
    • Category 1
    • Category 2
    • Category 3
    • Category 4
    • Category 5
      0
  2. 2. Will Erin landfall?

    • Yes (CONUS)
    • Yes (Canada)
    • Yes (Bermuda including brush)
    • Yes (The Caribbean)
      0
    • No


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0Z UKMET shifted a bit E with recurve at 69.6W (vs 71.9W on 12Z) meaning passing by closer to Bermuda:

TROPICAL STORM ERIN       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N  51.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052025

                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND
      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)
      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------
    0000UTC 15.08.2025    0  17.1N  51.9W     1004            34
    1200UTC 15.08.2025   12  18.0N  55.1W     1003            37
    0000UTC 16.08.2025   24  19.5N  58.1W     1001            39
    1200UTC 16.08.2025   36  20.3N  61.6W      999            41
    0000UTC 17.08.2025   48  20.8N  64.4W      996            40
    1200UTC 17.08.2025   60  21.4N  66.5W      992            46
    0000UTC 18.08.2025   72  22.5N  67.7W      989            48
    1200UTC 18.08.2025   84  24.1N  68.7W      987            50
    0000UTC 19.08.2025   96  25.9N  69.2W      985            52
    1200UTC 19.08.2025  108  27.5N  69.4W      983            57
    0000UTC 20.08.2025  120  29.4N  69.6W      979            60
    1200UTC 20.08.2025  132  31.7N  68.7W      971            64
    0000UTC 21.08.2025  144  33.8N  67.2W      964            70
    1200UTC 21.08.2025  156  35.8N  64.0W      960            73
    0000UTC 22.08.2025  168  37.6N  59.0W      954            75
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  • BarryStantonGBP changed the title to Tropical Storm Erin - NOW 70MPH

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