PTC 4

[WxWatcher007]

11 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I’ll give myself kudos here: I never bit, especially after they flew that plane in there

I did think it had a chance while it was still over the Yucatán but it clearly was sheared and disorganized after it entered BOC. Lesson for all: wait for recon/ascat before jumping to conclusions on convection 

It was a very nice call, and a good win for the models. The game was over as soon as recon finished the first leg of its initial flight. It was nowhere close and this morning did not get it done. 
 

Edit: although it would have been nice to break the name drought, I still love these homebrew scenarios regardless of result because I think they’re all great opportunities to learn and better recognize legitimate TC genesis windows.