DTWXRISK Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 the 12z EPS has NO 50/50 so as the 2 short waves begin to phase over Plains day 9-10 it results in larger southeast RIDGE which would mean hello Midwest Ohio valley winter storm. So the KEY is the 50/50 Low...IMO. If that feature is " real" I will bark ..IF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 For comparison purposes here is the EPS panel, superficially they look similar ... although SE ridge is much stronger here - 50 N low too far east to help us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 DEC 16 LOOKING GOOD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said: DEC 16 LOOKING GOOD Do you have an analysis up or will you be posting one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 hours ago, DTWXRISK said: DEC 16 LOOKING GOOD Agree. About to take the leash off the dogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Southern stream shortwave trough that is staying open and not going neg-tilt before crossing the Mississippi River Valley...check 50-50 low whose back side confluence will maintain New England high pressure/cold air...check Track of sfc low and H5 vort max...a little too far north for my liking in today's 12Z op ECMWF but sweet in the op GFS The "1 week" rule where models see it that far out, then lose it days 3-5, then come back days 1-2? Probably. The amazing thing is that the teleconnections in the EPS weeklies saw this potential in **early November** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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