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Feb 19-20 Winter Storm Threat

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As a northern border county, I’ve read that those counties should see the best possibility of snow, sleet, zr 

My high temp today was 45 or 46, car said one, house said one. Clouds were lurking most of the day and finally settled in early to  mid afternoon.

its now close to 8 pm, and my temp shows 43.2 at the house.

No precipitation so far and I’m wondering if we see anything but rain.



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Mesoscale Discussion 0111
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1126 PM CST Tue Feb 19 2019

   Areas affected...Eastern WV...Western VA

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 200526Z - 200930Z

   SUMMARY...Heavy snow is expected to spread northeast along the WV/VA
   border over the next several hours. Snow rates will likely approach
   1" per hour before precipitation changes to sleet.

   DISCUSSION...Strong low-level warm advection appears to be the
   primary contributor in a large canopy of precipitation that has
   developed across the OH Valley into the central Appalachians late
   this evening. LLJ is currently focused over TN but will strengthen
   and translate across KY into WV by sunrise. Large-scale forcing for
   ascent is expected to increase downstream across WV into western VA
   over the next few hours and this is reflected well in an expansive
   precip shield now spreading east of the higher terrain. Leading edge
   of this activity will fall as snow with rates likely
   approaching/exceeding 1" per hour. Forecast soundings for this
   region suggest substantial warming will switch snow to sleet across
   the southwestern half of the MCD area by 09z while the eastern WV
   Panhandle and northwestern VA should remain as snow through 12z.

   ..Darrow.. 02/20/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...




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