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bluewave

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So in those analog cases we lose/lessen the -EPO and the +NAO/AO, and that led to a warmer February, showcasing how critical the EPO is at least as far as temperatures are concerned.

I wish CPC would include the EPO along with NAO, PNA, and AO on their main page. I may be naive but I do not understand why the Antarctic Oscillation is there; I'd think the EPO would be more critical to include.

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Strongly agree, 1983 and 2008 were two of my top analogs for my winter outlook . My guess is also that January will feature the coldest temps relative to normal, which tends to be the case in -EPO/+AO/+NAO winters. There's a chance the coldest month is February but I'm much more leaning toward January right now. The PNA might become more favorable for the coming 30-40 days with a potential reload of the -EPO. The AO and NAO will probably remain on the neutral to positive side though, at least for the next several weeks.

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