tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 why not.. I'll get a model run started for a change, if you all don't mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 why not.. I'll get a model run started for a change, if you all don't mind. out to 18 hours so far.. I'll let you know what I'm seeing here... hopefully something interesting like we saw at the end of last night's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 out to 36.. first clipper system over North Dakota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 now, we're out to 48... the system retrograding off the east coast has a stretched out 1000 mb low pressure.. the clipper has a light to moderate snow band from Minneapolis through Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 sorry, was out grabbing beer and food for the eagles game....glad to see ya in here jay doing the thread.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 ok, so now we're out to hour 60. The QPF shield with the clipper is pretty far south.. with a tenth to quarter inch confined to eastern KY and TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 out to 18 hours so far.. I'll let you know what I'm seeing here... hopefully something interesting like we saw at the end of last night's run hoping to hear of a favorable upper level pattern for the medium/long range from the euro for snow. It would be nice to see some consistency with that, even if it doesnt show a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 hoping to hear of a favorable upper level pattern for the medium/long range from the euro for snow. It would be nice to see some consistency with that, even if it doesnt show a big storm. I hope so too. At 66, the precip with the clipper is mostly over eastern North Carolina. That broad area of low pressure, not surprisingly, is still sitting over Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 out to 78. I'm gonna pull up the 00Z 500 mb pattern in another window and see if I can see any significant changes as we get down the line here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 stronger vortex over the northeast compared to the 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 stronger vortex over the northeast compared to the 0z join me in the snow dance. We need something to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 join me in the snow dance. We need something to look forward to. hahaha, well until about hr 192, all we are gonna be gawking over is the cold lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 hr 102 snow showers for se pa, balt southern jerz and del Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 hahaha, well until about hr 192, all we are gonna be gawking over is the cold lol yea.. pretty much.. nothing too much different yet.. the storm east of Maine looks a bit stronger than the previous run... the GFS also showed a slightly stronger system this morning... other than that, not much else to say.... yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 more snow showers hr 108 for the same region up to about edison, nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 from the precip at hr 66 over se nj and del and hrs 102 and 108, the euro is spitting out .1-.25 in southern nj and central and southern delaware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 more snow showers hr 108 for the same region up to about edison, nj if that's lake effect it's picking up on, it's travelling a long ways... I do see very subtle shortwaves on the back-side of the trof, doesn't seem like much of anything that would have any impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 hr 120, more snow showers del and southern jerz up to philly, .1 line just about up to phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 What's causing the SHSN at the 102-108hr points? A vortmax rotating around the low in ME/Canada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 if that's lake effect it's picking up on, it's travelling a long ways... I do see very subtle shortwaves on the back-side of the trof, doesn't seem like much of anything that would have any impact. yea im not sure what it is, it keep on hitting at an area of precip in southern jerz and del, maybe some bay affect in the area or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Maybe we can get a couple of inches out of this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 yea im not sure what it is, it keep on hitting at an area of precip in southern jerz and del, maybe some bay affect in the area or something? yea, it might just be fantasy stuff. There isn't anything major that I see that would be causing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 midlo, rich gets nothing from the clipper, winner from the clipper precip wise is nc with .1-.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 hr 132 -nao is still in control, nice ridge on the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 i still don't see anything hugely different in looking at 500 mb up to this point. The vortex in Canada is pretty much where it was last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 looks like maybe a -epo starting to get going, higher then normal hgts over alaska, its almost linking up with the western ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 at 144, the -12 850 mb isotherm has made it through the NYC region.. this morning's GFS was warmer.. we never got below -10 through pretty much the whole run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 hr 144 looks like a new arctic airmass is aimed at the great lakes and northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 new storm coming into pac nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 how often is north carolina the winner with clippers? lol anyway, sounds like a good setup taking place for the long range already tombo/jay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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