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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by brooklynwx99

  1. the progression on the EPS is quite similar to that of Feb 2021 with the vigorous S/W getting forced underneath the block. it's not very far off. what a shift here

    just keep in mind that this is not the end solution at all... but the overall synoptics might not be failing us as we previously thought. gotta trust the pattern to produce

    ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-vort500_z500-1677974400-1678406400-1678644000-40-1.thumb.gif.0a552c58b2745c261247a9897c7dc393.gif

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  2. GEFS is night and day. love seeing the trough link up with the confluence as well. block is farther N, leading to a lower chance of linking with the height rises ahead of the trough

    great run. this is a major step in the right direction

    ezgif-2-f765cc12d1.thumb.gif.e0085e4aba40fd2127914396e9156787.gif

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  3. 23 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

    GFS is slightly improved. notice the lower heights out in the E Pac at the same latitude of the trough on the WC and higher heights towards AK

    this is a shift towards more Pac jet interaction and the ECMWF solution 

    7C8B9B60-3B71-43C2-B8E2-BEA17D56EE58.thumb.gif.0071ca839548b93e593c1adaddd71069.gif

    same on CMC

    F1C40674-4751-4E0B-87D7-996A10BADE2A.thumb.gif.77707c8c89ff9dde36db1b4c12fc5764.gif

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  4. GFS is slightly improved. notice the lower heights out in the E Pac at the same latitude of the trough on the WC and higher heights towards AK

    this is a shift towards more Pac jet interaction and the ECMWF solution 

    7C8B9B60-3B71-43C2-B8E2-BEA17D56EE58.thumb.gif.0071ca839548b93e593c1adaddd71069.gif

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  5. this is actually really close to a big solution with the confluence parked over the NE US… the block overhead should force this east

    E608EC36-0549-4714-9312-138CD5164790.thumb.png.6c24c0462f7f19a53049ef7c281ce6d2.png

    i know we haven’t seen exactly what we’ve wanted today, but this run just shows how extremely touchy everything is out west and how prone it all is to change. it’s not an aphorism that things will change… it’s almost a certainty with this amplified and as finicky of a setup as this one

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  6. 3 hours ago, qg_omega said:

    Think you posted this in one form or another this year at least 10 times.  What’s your seasonal snowfall total this year?

    what in that post was incorrect? tell me. give me details 

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