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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by brooklynwx99

  1. every model has the signal mid-month, worth watching for sure with the ridge rising out west. airmass is better than you'd think with the PV nearby

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  2. 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    This winter's been just morally repulsively enabling to CC deniers in this region of the world.  HAHA

    the snow blitzes this winter are just as much a part of CC as the warm bursts IMO

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  3. SPC is forecasting a thundersnow risk!

    day1otlk_1200.gif.20e06a210e745120b4bd12f79c6c2e08.gif

     ...Discussion...
    
       Strong short-wave trough is digging southeast toward the OH Valley
       late this evening. This feature will phase with the southern stream
       and induce a surface low off the NC coast early in the period.
       Intense deepening is expected with this offshore cyclone which will
       lift north-northeast during the overnight hours.
    
       Isolated thunderstorms may develop along the trailing cold front as
       it surges south across the FL Peninsula during the day, but poor
       lapse rates and weak buoyancy suggest the risk for robust convection
       is not particularly high.
    
       Intense low-level warm advection will aid the potential for
       lightning discharge in midlevel convection along the middle Atlantic
       coast and southern New England. Forecast soundings suggest the
       majority of this activity will be within heavier snow bands along
       the northwest-north side of the cyclone.
    
       Across the Pacific northwest, significant midlevel cooling and
       steepening lapse rates are expected along the WA coast by early
       afternoon. Weak SBCAPE is expected to develop across this region and
       some risk for lightning is possible with convection that develops
       within this warm-advection regime.
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