tim123

If nam is correct its goin to snow into sat morning.

Hi rez canadian to hour 48 at 10 to 1.

Buffalo hitting the lake enhancement but not in their snow totals yet until a bit more confident.

Friday. Based on previous guidance was all set to rush this system east of the area pretty quickly on Friday. However, trends now showing up that there could be yet another low-level wave lifting through to keep snow going through midday while larger scale lift ramps up again as northern stream trough advances across the Great Lakes. While this occurs northeast to northerly winds will be flowing across Lake Ontario with temps at top of inversion sufficient for lake enhancement. All in all, increased QPF and snow a bit compared to any larger scale blends and previous forecast. If the more amplified ECMWF and Canadian-Regional are right on this trend (supported more now by 06z NAM), then could see even more snow on Friday especially from lake enhancement. Still cannot rule out some blowing snow especially in open areas near Lake Ontario. Coord with near term forecaster on headlines with the system and opted to go to 15z for end time of warning over far western NY and to 18z for rest of the area. System finally pulls east late Friday, leaving persistent but light lake effect off Lake Ontario in a more northwest flow by that point. Temps chilly on Friday with readings in the upper teens to near 20F not rising much from overnight lows Thursday night. Wind chills will be as cold as the single digits below zero east of Lake Ontario to the single digits above zero

Any power outages down that way and could be a real disaster.

Big ice storm over a huge area in Ohio and Mississippi Valley areas.

Absolutely shed be proud. She is proud looking down on ya.

The guy thinks I am a idiot for saying 12 to 13 to one ratios when its clear as day. 10 to 1 is like the only ratio he knows cause he is from Philadelphia. Lol

Congrats on your personal achievements for you and the family.

And this doesn't really factor in any enhancement. Or atleast a accurate representation.

Not pointing any one out but that dam stupid snowman avatar really is a pisser.

96 blizzard woke up to get himself a kuchie map and he thought somebody was barbecuing. He said oh lord Jesus its 10 to 1. Ain't nobody got time for that.

Dude its a weather forum and they get annoyed when you talk weather. Smh. Baffles me too.

Fwiw icon came nw some more.

Can almost bet meso models will have close to 2 feet totals areas south of ontario.

No one is talking about it but someone in se ny is looking at big ice. Catskills area?

Buffalo issued warnings as well. 8 to 12. Definitely feel areas from sodus to Hamilton ontario will have 12 to 16.

Also of note models now seem to wanna extend steady snow thru Friday morning and in lake enhanced areas all day Friday into Friday eve

Pretty neat as you go toward ny pa border up to Central ny the map with ratios shows much lower totals do too 6 to 8 to 1 ratios. Up north of 5 and 20 looks like 12 13 to 1

Hrrr goin balls out. Still snowing.

Hey bmg. You got high rez canadian?

Playing catchup? I mean all the models have been south north south north for 2 days now. Hard to figure out where axis goes.

Output looks almost same. Oddly enough its the farthest south model now. Lol.

Its on its own.

I have no problem believing that avatar is really what you look like.