Brick Tamland

Canadian totals.

GFS has rain to snow for a little bit of NC down to GA.

Getting any amount of measurable snow here is a win these days.

Well, the Canadian goes from rain to snow for NE NC.

Really feels like no one knows what will happen with regards to winter storms here until we are 24 hours out or less. First it was we weren't going to have enough precip and temps weren't an issue to now temps are going to be too warm. The GFS and NAM have been all over the place. It's sad that the NAM goes from 6 inches here to nothing in one run just 48 hours out. They need to figure out something with these models because it seems the algorithms they use now don't match our climate data or something anymore because they shouldn't be that bad. It feels like the Euro is the only one that is worth looking at to see if there is going to be a chance of snow and then maybe the short range models like the HRRR inside 24 hours for totals.

NAM went from this To this in one run.

Oh well, better than all rain.

Still going in central NC.

Looks like all snow for those that get precip in Wake and westward.

NAM still has snow but looks less impressive this run.

I liked it better when App was in the FCS division.

I guess the mets just go with the one they think is right most of the time. Or maybe just meet somewhere in the middle. But it is crazy how far apart they are less than 72 hours out. It just goes to show how hard it is to predict what will happen when there is a threat of winter weather here

NAM 4 life!

GFS not as impressive this run. Looks like less precip.

Hot damn! We just got NAM'ed!