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Brick Tamland

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Everything posted by Brick Tamland

  1. Yeah, hate we waste a lot of.precip here as rain before turning to snow, though.
  2. Feels like NC is the same as SC now and all the systems go north to VA.
  3. GFS is a complete miss with the Friday system this run.
  4. Maybe we'll have it go our way this time. Just haven't been that lucky the last few years.
  5. A lot to ask thr Euro to trend to the GFS. Usually it's the other way around when we actually get snow.
  6. Well, the GFS is showing a snow threat here next Friday, but it's been looking less and less impressive the last couple of runs. Also had another system for the 19th that was snow and is now rain. Euro has just been showing rain for both systems. Hard to get on board the hype train without the Euro showing snow and the GFS being less impressive with each run.
  7. Not sure what to expect here. Euro doesn't show much but has been trending better. GFS and the short range models have been looking great the last two days, but then the last NAM run did a complete 180. Could be anything from a dusting to 2 inches here.
  8. Hoping Imelda stays away from NC and doesn't bring all her shoes with her. Gen X joke.
  9. Had a good one come through. Pouring rain and lots of thunder and lightning. Had one strike very close, sounded like a bomb.
  10. Mesoscale Discussion 0327 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Areas affected...Southern Georgia into North Florida Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88... Valid 311754Z - 312000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential will likely continue into more of southern Georgia and North Florida. An additional severe thunderstorm watch for parts of these areas is probable this afternoon. DISCUSSION...With surface temperatures ahead of the ongoing convective line reaching the low 80s F, MLCAPE has risen to around 2000 J/kg. As the line progresses east, the expectation is for continued damaging gust potential into southeast Georgia and North Florida. There will be some waning influence of the upper-level trough and shear will remain greater to the north/west. This makes the intensity of the line somewhat uncertain with eastward extent. A severe thunderstorm watch will most likely be considered for portions of southeast Georgia and North Florida. Regarding a QLCS tornado threat, KEOX data suggest that there were two brief TDS in far southeastern Alabama. Regional VAD data continue to show limited low-level hodograph curvature. Trends in the convective line and the environment continue to suggest the possibility of the QLCS tornado, though any circulation should be brief. ..Wendt.. 03/31/2025
  11. 79 here with the sun coming in and out.
  12. Storms with rotation in Henry County, GA.
  13. More of an instability threat here than a sheer threat compared to the other severe storms we have had this year. Going to depend on if we get any clearing today to add the juice needed for severe storms.
  14. It's cloudy here. Doubt we'll see much in the way of severe storms if we don't get any sun.
  15. Slight change on the enhanced area. Now from central NC down to the LA coast.
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