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Cold Rain

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Everything posted by Cold Rain

  1. Go ahead and pull the trigger. It’s a good thing to have whether you use it next week or not. Plus, if you’re hoping for a Florence miss, why not go ahead and seal the deal early?!
  2. That map also makes me think that there is a decent chance of a southern storm track.
  3. Well, business is about to pick up in Haddonfield:
  4. When will the Griteater preliminary winter forecast be released?
  5. Euro has been caving a lot the last couple of years. It seems like it has lost a step since the upgrade a few years back. I know someone will pop in with the verification stats, but watching tropical systems and winter events, it seems to cave to the GFS more than it used to.
  6. Went ahead and ran the experimental extrapolation for the winter:
  7. Yep, hot and very little rain. Don't want to start getting too dry and screw up our soil moisture variable for the winter! We need a couple of good land-falling tropical systems.
  8. At this point, I'd give place the odds AOA 75% that we see something in the following range: warm neutral to moderate Nino, either west or central based. My guess is weak central. I would take strong out of the mix and take Nina or Nina-ish out of the mix. I would also give lower chances of warm east vs. warm central/west. We'll see.
  9. Everything is better than cold rain!!
  10. Burns, I'm saddened to hear this. I'm so sorry. I can't even imagine how you all must be feeling. Again, I'm really sorry to hear this.
  11. Unfortunately, those ligament early fall fronts, have a tendon to get stuck in the mountains, leaving us inflamed.
  12. Of course! Does it rhyme with: "Mold in the feast"?
  13. I'm just looking forward to September the 15th. Usually, after mid-September, it becomes atypical for sustained periods of hot, humid weather. I hate the summer so much. So much.
  14. There’s a lot less lava in West Durham also.
  15. Were there just really bad rip currents? I'm guessing that is the case.
  16. North, south, east, or west of me is where you want to be! Where's Packbacker?
  17. Going to be a big winter. Weak west-based or Modoki El Nino, lots of blocking, active STJ. Boom!
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