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Everything posted by JTA66
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I always thought of DT as the Howard Eskin of weather
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The 60hr NAM brought tears to my eyes
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Can't help but have the same ptsd...some weenie scars never heal. Left work that cloudy Friday afternoon, very similar to today expecting 2-3' of snow. And then...
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A beautiful day before the '93 Super Storm, sunny w/temps in the 50's. And no, I'm not expecting a repeat this weekend. As Paul said, I think we'll all remain a bit skeptical until and unless we see the Euro move toward the GFS.
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Seriously, are we doing this?? Asking for a friend.
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I don't envy Mike or the mets at Mt Holly. There's potential, so you want the public to have plenty of warning. BUT...
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I was wondering that yesterday when Ralph gave the update. It seemed like Hurricane was reacting to the 12z runs. But I didn’t watch the video or know when he records them, just my hunch. Still, Hurricane knows his $hit, so it would be foolish to dismiss his thoughts.
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Howard said models suck and are useless. Ji cancelled winter. Randy told Chuck to stfu. And Hoffman said it can’t snow anymore. i think that covers most of it.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
M’eh, I don’t care about Allentown or Philly. All I know is I haven’t seen my lawn in more than a month. I’m good. -
I don't know why, but that area of reduced accumulation going up the NE Extension in central Montco ALWAYS shows up on clown maps. Schuykill River surface temp anomalies??
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Thanks! Hope they at least chip in with gas $$$ to fuel up the plane
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Mike, is that data used exclusively for US modeling or is it shared with international partners (Canadians, Europeans, etc.)?
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I think we had some at 18z yesterday and more at 0z. Can anyone confirm?
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Despite the drought-like conditions, mud season never disappoints. -
So sorry to hear! Hope you have a speedy and painless recovery!! And now that a thread has been started, the GFS can finally start to cave to the Euro at 12z
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Got a shower moving through, 39F. Been awhile since I’ve heard rain falling.
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18z GFS annihilates the Delmarva. I have friends in OCMD. If I thought it had a chance to be correct, I’d chase.
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Hopefully nothing will EVER rival March 5, 2001. And it was such a looong rug pull too. Starting Friday night, they slowly started scaling back accumulations all weekend long until Monday morning when I went to work under cloudy skies.
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Looking back to autumn, and I would never draw any long-term conclusions based on a single storm, but.... It's interesting how the modeled "nor'easter" of 10/12 turned into a non-event in these parts. Yes, the shore got hit and experienced heavy beach erosion. But that storm seems to have tipped winter's hand -- big, wrapped up storm modeled in the LR only to become less impactful as we move up to game time.
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Yes, we’ve know the flavor of this winter and how the models are handling it for awhile now. Epic looks a week+ out only to start scaling back as we move up in time from there. My thinking is, the ceiling for this is probably a high-end SECS. Of course that means a nothing burger is still on the table. We just can’t know!
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DT regurgitates the Euro. Since it's not enthusiastic about this storm, neither is he. If the Euro hops onboard, he'll be the first to issue ALEETS.
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They're out mowing their lawns.
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Early Monday morning 2/16 last minute event OBS/Discussion
JTA66 replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Light snow, 34F/ DP 29F -
Early Monday morning 2/16 last minute event OBS/Discussion
JTA66 replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Insignificant flakes here too. 36F/DP 29F
