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JTA66

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Everything posted by JTA66

  1. Can't help but have the same ptsd...some weenie scars never heal. Left work that cloudy Friday afternoon, very similar to today expecting 2-3' of snow. And then...
  2. A beautiful day before the '93 Super Storm, sunny w/temps in the 50's. And no, I'm not expecting a repeat this weekend. As Paul said, I think we'll all remain a bit skeptical until and unless we see the Euro move toward the GFS.
  3. I don't envy Mike or the mets at Mt Holly. There's potential, so you want the public to have plenty of warning. BUT...
  4. I was wondering that yesterday when Ralph gave the update. It seemed like Hurricane was reacting to the 12z runs. But I didn’t watch the video or know when he records them, just my hunch. Still, Hurricane knows his $hit, so it would be foolish to dismiss his thoughts.
  5. Howard said models suck and are useless. Ji cancelled winter. Randy told Chuck to stfu. And Hoffman said it can’t snow anymore. i think that covers most of it.
  6. M’eh, I don’t care about Allentown or Philly. All I know is I haven’t seen my lawn in more than a month. I’m good.
  7. I don't know why, but that area of reduced accumulation going up the NE Extension in central Montco ALWAYS shows up on clown maps. Schuykill River surface temp anomalies??
  8. Mike, is that data used exclusively for US modeling or is it shared with international partners (Canadians, Europeans, etc.)?
  9. I think we had some at 18z yesterday and more at 0z. Can anyone confirm?
  10. Despite the drought-like conditions, mud season never disappoints.
  11. So sorry to hear! Hope you have a speedy and painless recovery!! And now that a thread has been started, the GFS can finally start to cave to the Euro at 12z
  12. Got a shower moving through, 39F. Been awhile since I’ve heard rain falling.
  13. 18z GFS annihilates the Delmarva. I have friends in OCMD. If I thought it had a chance to be correct, I’d chase.
  14. Hopefully nothing will EVER rival March 5, 2001. And it was such a looong rug pull too. Starting Friday night, they slowly started scaling back accumulations all weekend long until Monday morning when I went to work under cloudy skies.
  15. Looking back to autumn, and I would never draw any long-term conclusions based on a single storm, but.... It's interesting how the modeled "nor'easter" of 10/12 turned into a non-event in these parts. Yes, the shore got hit and experienced heavy beach erosion. But that storm seems to have tipped winter's hand -- big, wrapped up storm modeled in the LR only to become less impactful as we move up to game time.
  16. Yes, we’ve know the flavor of this winter and how the models are handling it for awhile now. Epic looks a week+ out only to start scaling back as we move up in time from there. My thinking is, the ceiling for this is probably a high-end SECS. Of course that means a nothing burger is still on the table. We just can’t know!
  17. DT regurgitates the Euro. Since it's not enthusiastic about this storm, neither is he. If the Euro hops onboard, he'll be the first to issue ALEETS.
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