TauntonBlizzard2013
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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013
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Not going to happen on the NAM
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Call me a glass half full kind of guy... I’m not giving up down here yet.... we’ll get through 12z tomorrow. Weve seen bigger shifts at shorter leads. Still nearly 3 full days away
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So what’s the consensus? Give it more time or punt it to the moon?
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I’m not an expert.... but the gfs looks better to me
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It’s better than prior runs... and that’s not even debatable
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NAM through 63 looks improved
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The airmass thing means very little to me. If the storm is halfway decent it won’t matter... if the storm blows... the airmass will be a factor
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I will say... if there was ever a time to hope for a big shift at this lead... this would probably be the exact setup to see that, given all the short waves and other elements going on.
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Small improvement on the gfs. I hate to still be in on this threat but we’re close enough here where a small improvement here or there could mean some snow. Just can’t look away
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Yeah... that’s a gag for that model. No spin needed
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That looks like it might be serviceable down this way... maybe need it a hair NW
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6z icon was also NW some... scrapes se areas
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Scrapes SE Mass
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Going to be easy to pick the euro out for blowing this one as it was the only model to blow up at 18z last night.
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Nice to see we got Paul pierce at the elbow pump faked
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Icon looks worse... continues it’s steady trend towards nada
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LOL. Jesus. 75% of those are big hits
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Everything goes East... euro comes west.... oy
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Okay... what ensemble set gives you snow? My experience tells me that this is headed in the wrong direction.
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What is your model of choice right now? I believe the only model that gives you anything at all is the ukie... and that was headed East after a zonked 00z run.
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Yeah... that’s the biggest issue I think. Euro had that from the start... looks like it may be correct.. not just the model bias at play. Of course it’s got this one right
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Look at the changes from 00z to now... absolutely comical. I know we are still a few days out... but woof. Something is changing to make these models punt East
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Negative.... it even further East.... looks like dogshit
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At least the rug is getting pulled out early this time... not 36-48 hours before. That’s nice at least
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Icon is well East of 12z... scrapes
