TauntonBlizzard2013
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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013
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It’s the 84 hour NAM.... but it looks ominous at 84
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This is still like 4 or 5 days out... but the major components coming together aren’t an eternity away. My observation has been a subtle trend across guidance over the last 18-24 hours that the interaction with these two streams just happens too late. A big storm in the Atlantic with minimal effects to NE. Obviously that can change, but at this point, I’d heavily lean late bloomer that misses the area. We are really trying to thread the needle to get these to line up
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Yeah... the general theme im getting is this is just going to get going a bit too late.
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Gfs and icon aren’t all that different as far as end results go. Create a nuke of a storm we’ll offshore
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Icon is a beast well offshore.... man... if that thing got going sooner
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That does illustrate my fear here though. A phase with a powerful storm, but way too far offshore. That seems to be reflected in some members here
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Blek..... need to see more of a trend on the ensembles. My gut feeling at this time is basically too little too late probably... nice storm for some fishermen out in the northern Atlantic
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Yup... needs more work. Good to see a somewhat better solution though
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Probably the worst icon run yet. Southern stream just drifts basically East from Florida
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It doesn’t look good to me, but I’m not an expert. A decidedly negative step at 12z today . Pretty meh outside of the cmc
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If the storm is worth anything, it’ll be snow. If it’s a weak mess, yeah it’ll be rain.
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I’m more concerned about a whiff vs anything else.... this doesn’t scream cutting Rainer to me. Id put it at like 70% whiff 30% impact right now
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CMC is going to go boom
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It’s not even close... toss at your own peril.
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Gfs misses too.... this is far from a slam dunk. Icon isn’t even close at 12z
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Buy buy buy..... look at that cutoff towards central Conn though.... yikes
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12z icon says what storm
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That’s a classic eastern NE nuke on the euro...: sign for that in a heartbeat
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That’s easily 12”+ for eastern ma.... probably closer to 18” for a lot
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A foot of snow is not a stat padder whether it melts in ten minutes or not
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One thing that I have not seen in any of these runs is a lot of rain. I’d be more worried about OTS.
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SE Mass posters dancing around in a foot and a half of snow while you’re in ATL? Book it
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Canadian is widespread 12-16” isolated 20”. Imagine getting that type of storm in a sea of crap
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All downhill from that run. That thing is a bomb... wow
