TauntonBlizzard2013
-
Posts
31,962 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013
-
Big jog SE on the gfs.... we’ll see what the real models say overnight but this threat is on life support.
-
This winter has had corona virus since The second week of December
-
Yup... without snow it’s going to roast
-
Huge shift in the wrong direction on the NAM. Souther stream is hundreds of miles south and heading east
-
Yup.... souther stream a good bit south and northern stream further north..... yikes
-
00z NAM running.... see if we have any hope here
-
I think it’s safe to say this isn’t going to cut
-
It is a bit weaker and slightly further East.... 00z we need changes or punt it to the moon
-
I don’t hate the 18z gefs... but I feel like we are probably very slowly but surely losing this threat
-
Yeah... I’m not chasing a few rogue ensemble members after tonight... we know how that goes
-
Tonight should seal our fate I think... at least we won’t waste time tracking deep into the week. This winter is for the birds
-
Basically the exact same as 12z out to 102... an absolute behemoth justttttt far enough offshore not to impact us. I love how all these solutions bounce around but when one is just far enough from impact, it locks in.
-
Gfs looks identical through 60
-
Icon is snow showers for SE Mass... nothing NW of that
-
Looks like shiat
-
NAM at 84 looks pretty good... but so did all the other guidance
-
breaking down those individuals... I see 12/50 (~25%) that would be Significant events... and about another half dozen or so that would be moderate... with another half dozen to 7 or 8 or so that are very close to one of those two categories. So basically about 50% chance of a decent event based on those members
-
Must be a few members near Bermuda... lots of spread west there
-
What gives? Seems like you various ensemble suites have better outcomes than the OP runs. At some point, you’d expect those to link up, no?
-
You are in a better spot than anyone on this forum
-
Overall... not great on the 12z runs today... still time, but going to need corrections soon.
-
Looks similar to all the other solutions we’ve seen at 12z looks great and then gets punted East... leaving a cape scrape basically
-
Wow.. that’s a razor sharp cutoff.... nothing in Boston... warning event for se mass
-
Very similar to the CMC... looks really good only to get punted East last second
-
I think If we get fringed it’s probably more slop than anything... but yeah... verbatim probably like 3-6 here
