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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. See my above post. Theres been great discussion over the last week about why this period is pretty low probability, but you see a big solution and people go wild. There are real issues with the setup, I don’t think that’s controversial
  2. Negative, just feels like a lot of people have been preaching patience, and it’s been stated why this is low probability, yet, we get a random big solution on the gfs and people go wild. I don’t get it
  3. Yup, kind of sad. This has a lot working against it. Kicker lows, and more importantly, it kind of is an occluded mess one it gets here. If there is a storm, I think the best is in the mid Atlantic and we are fighting for shredded scraps here. I think the desperation is getting to normally level headed people.
  4. Feel like we’ve been dumbfounded by how looks don’t produce a lot over the last 5 years. Feels like we’re headed there again
  5. Right. Still think people need to treat this with extreme caution. Likely will be not much
  6. I mean, sensible weather went from 12-18” in SNE to 2-4”. That’s a pretty big difference, regardless of upper air
  7. Looks a lot worse at the surface than 12z. I don’t think that’s really debatable
  8. I’m not sure this is necessarily true lol. If we miss that 15-20th period, the final third of the month has hinted at warming up, or at minimum, riding the boundary. It can always get worse lol
  9. I think it’s a completely reasonable position to say that we need something out of the 16th or 18th. if we whiff on both those chances, you are really starting to rely on some truly slim possibilities to a path to normal snow
  10. That’s how I feel. I’m trying to be more positive but I’m not taking the cheese on any of this until something legit is literally on the doorstep. We’ve been burned way to much recently. And there are still elements that have screwed us over the last half decade ( fast flow, poor wave spacing) present in this upcoming look. Im not saying it won’t happen, I’m just saying it’s hard to take a cheery position
  11. Someone should photoshop your face into the video, that would be epic
  12. Nice run for Myrtle beach on the 16th. Way wide right up here. I’m pretty much writing that one off, you’re going to need pretty wholesale changes to get a configuration that will drag that close enough to be interesting.
  13. Going to have to hope something speeds up or slows down, because if not, we’ll all end up with very little. Wave spacing issues have been a consistent them for close to a decade now, and it’s often sunk any decent hemispheric patterns we’ve had, especially over the last 5-6 years
  14. Less than an inch of snow for almost all of SNE outside of Northern Worcester county and the Berks through 384 hours on the 12z gfs run. Even in bad years, not sure I’ve ever seen a run so devoid of winter weather in the peak of winter.
  15. It’s completely clickbait lol. People are really digging to the bottom of the barrel to find some fake positivity
  16. How can anything in mid January, with most people below normal for snow, be considered pure gravy? IMO, we are wasting peak climo snow season for many currently. if we have any shot at anything resembling a normal season, we need changes soon, and not just back to cold temps and 1/2” clippers
  17. You said you liked it yesterday lol. But I don’t disagree.
  18. Probably end up with just enough of a dusting here for the salt truck to come barreling down the road again. Rejoice
  19. Well, whenever people (rightfully) point out that we squandered a pretty anomalous cold December, people jump in to tell us how 3 towns in SW CT are above normal for snowfall. Ill tell you this though, they won’t be two weeks from now
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