TauntonBlizzard2013

Aifs looks good, but will legacy euro follow?

I remember always hearing how these features never actually happened. Yet, they’ve been a constant this year

That’s what I thought. Enjoy the coating to rain or drizzle.

How much snow did you get last night?

We’ve known. I had no expectations for last night or Friday, and it’s panning out exactly as I thought. Never bought any of these recent euro runs

Let him go, just like last night.

This is following, quite literally, the same progression we’ve seen from all these systems this year. some mid range waffling, but ultimately, there was never real support. Just enough to waste everyone’s time for 3-4 days, before it finally slowly vanishes under 100 hours

I’ll be surprised if anyone south of the pike sees more than an inch. Maybe someone lucky gets 2” of slop. Hope people enjoy it, because the mechanism that’s “helping” this system, is part of the reason we’re going to whiff the coastal

It has no support. It’s wrong. We all know it’s wrong.

DC will reach close to my seasonal total from this storm, and I’ll be watching cirrus float by. This winter has positively sucked outside of 1 great event. Cold and constant misses, the worst

Scooter and the cape getting more snow than anywhere in CT would be pretty funny, even if it’s only a couple inches

Nope

Didn’t take long to dig out this morning

Not to be that guy, but this has honestly alway been a sloppy mess here. Marginal temps, mixing issues, possibly limited QPF. Take the under. Ray north for the best stuff

Snow is taking a beating here. My front yard is sun torched and wide open and it’s down to a few inches in spots. Neighbors shaded yard across the street still well over a foot. That time of year

Here’s the problem in my eyes, and this is completely serious. The aggregate is not good. When you take every piece of guidance, ensemble, etc? They average out to a miss. You also can’t really afford a compromise. A compromise of the euro and gfs solutions is a miss. You’re essentially hedging that every model is entirely wrong with the major players for the system. Because even models and ensembles with a hit are mostly confined to Se New England. Given all the information, I’d put the odds of a region wide hit at like 5% and a plowable SE graze at like 15%

Dr nos at 6z

Will be a fitting end to this winter to whiff on all 3 potential snow events this week down here. One memorable event

This has looked like shit for days south of the pike.

Lmao. This made me laugh

Could only go up on the euro. I don’t think that was a meaningful move

Yup, we’ve had a couple small events in the last month after the mega SWFE, but for the most part, we’ve squandered opportunities big time. And even before that event, same thing

The OP euro is one thing, but the eps not even having slight interest should concern everyone

6” is crazy here though. No shot at that