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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. Some of these solutions are almost hard to believe lol. The 18z euro is literally days and days. Probably at least Monday and Tuesday off for the kids if that verified
  2. This is a high stakes event, for the period and for winter in general. There is upper end potential, which we have t really seen in years. However, I know the setup is different; but you just have to hope this isn’t a Feb 2016, where NYC is getting 30 inches and we are choking on 4-8” of arctic sand.
  3. Theoretically, if you slowed this down even more, that secondary low would have time to amplify more, instead of basically skirting east. Probably asking a lot though
  4. Too bad it’s a week away, what a look. Feels like we had something similar in, what Jan/Feb 2011?
  5. There isn’t, but I see folks want to look past this weekend for a more favorable period; but there’s still a lot that has to go right. Fighting an uphill battle currently
  6. There are no guarantees moving forward, that should be obvious. Even after this weekend
  7. Beware of the press. We’ve seen this before, and not all that long ago.
  8. People also need to be vigilant about who’s posting and where. I’m sure they’ll be some vague “looks good” comments coming from a certain poster in NY, when in reality, it’s probably very different in this area
  9. Nope. I just honestly feel like it’s going to get squashed. Not exactly a hot take, that’s what most guidance shows lol
  10. AI models were definitely a little to generous on amount and extent of qpf, but they absolutely smoked the regular OPs in the 2-5 day range. garbage mid range performance from the traditional models
  11. The cmc doesn’t look that great to me. I bet that’s a lot of sand on the northern edge. And it also could be under doing the strength of the cold press. I don’t know, I hate having to rely on certain features to move or come in less impressive.
  12. Tough to be 10-12 days out from any next potential in mind winter
  13. Wait until the models pick up on the new pack. This has suppression written all over it IMO
  14. Yeah the met is already on here. Curious how much is left by the time we go into the freezer later week
  15. We had 6 just shy of 11 here, and there is just shy of two more out there now. Obviously it’s compacted some, but there definitely was close to that here, no doubt
  16. You definitely need some none AI guidance to bite on something. The fact that they are complete whiffs is concerning
  17. Comical solution. Prolonged overrunning morphing into a coastal dropping ~2” of qpf
  18. Love the back building SW of RI. Hope that keeps the lighter stuff going. Snow has definitely dried out a bit. Down to 31.4
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