Torchageddon

2 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Am I correct that the humidex is more liberal than the heat index?  Like for a given temp and dewpoint, the humidex value will be higher than it is on the heat index?

I never got myself sorted on the exact differences so I found this article:

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/humidex-vs-heat-index-whats-the-difference/10243

 "The equation used to calculate the humidex is different from what is used for the Heat Index in the United States. Therefore, one cannot convert the Heat Index to Celsius to compare conditions in the two countries. For example, at a temperature of 32 °C with a relative humidity of 50%, the Heat Index would be 35 °C, but the humidex would be 39."

For the equation: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Humidex

I'm currently sitting at 26C with a humidex of 30. There is just enough of a breeze that unless I'm standing in direct sunlight I still feel a slight tinge of coolness!

1 hour ago, bowtie` said:

No where close to sultry here. Yesterday at max heating the dews were only in the low 50's. Today so far, the dews are only in the mid 50's. Really does not feel sultry to me until the dews get closer to 65.

Compared to recent it'll feel that way as my humidex is suppose to be 28-30C later. Right now my DP is 13C/55F.

Temp is soaring with full sun here, I went up 1C just in the last 10 mins. Can't wait to feel the sultry airmass.

On 4/20/2022 at 1:35 PM, Torchageddon said:

Now 25C, 1C left. Humidex set to a steamy 29C.

And there it is:

PMX Engine is easy. Trace amounts of snow next week and a whole lot of clouds!

17 hours ago, Torchageddon said:

Sun high has been increased to 24C, 2C left to go.

Now 25C, 1C left. Humidex set to a steamy 29C.

In less than a day, all this green grass is showing up despite the cold and snow.

This was going to be the sunniest day of the next 7, but I've barely got any so far. 9 Hrs of sunlight not happening but its slowly clearing. Tomorrow looks good in the late day so hoping the bulk of the rain occurs overnight and shoves off.

On 4/18/2022 at 3:14 PM, Torchageddon said:

Next Sun my high is set to 20C/68F but I think I'll overperform and get to ~26C.

Sun high has been increased to 24C, 2C left to go.

The winds this afternoon were wicked, I think even higher than last Fri's event.

8 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Somewhat below average is tolerable at this time of year, especially if it's sunny.  It's the days that are like 15 or 20 degrees below average that suck.

Its not tolerable IMBY because below avg doesn't equal sunny unless its Jan/Feb. The last thing I need here is a NW flow!!

9 hours ago, RCNYILWX said:

Piggybacking on Joe's post above, the teleconnection forecasts are legit the stuff of nightmares for this time of year, unless you like extended winter. 
 

I started off my morning by seeing overcast skies, white surfaces with a cold wind. Then a headline from TWN "Every major Canadian city is below seasonal on Tuesday, more cold in sight" and now this. So the crackpot extended GFS may not be junk? I'm excited.

4 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

GFS showing 30’s for highs throughout the beginning of May. Old habits die hard. 

If something even remotely close to that pans out, may as well have a solid snowstorm in early May just for the novelty factor. The leaves aren't coming out anytime soon anyways.

1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said:

Well the thing is work was gonna let me stay down there through March but I didn't want to use all my vacation time and save some for the summer here so I took a risk and came home on March 1st hoping that maybe we might have a decent and warm March this Spring but boy did that backfire lol. I think we've had 3 days (60+) where i was able to ride my bike outside since march 1st.

Ouch I feel that pain, I actually thought the opposite last Spring where I was convinced there was no way a repeat for 2022 was on tap - indeed. I was thinking of leaving Mar/Apr specifically because I knew it was going to be atrocious.

Looking at the coming week I'm estimated to have 27 hours of total sunlight. I doubt I'll get that much despite it being an already low value. Next Sun my high is set to 20C/68F but I think I'll overperform and get to ~26C.

This has been an extremely awful Easter weekend for weather, and here it fell on a late weekend slot . April 16th specifically may have had the worst wx I've ever seen for that date - zero redeeming factors aside from some brief clear skies that morning then the darkness and damp cold followed. Today is similar despite the overachieving temps. I can't believe its going to get even worse tomorrow.

I hope the full run of the GFS after 200 hours is on crack.

I was awoken by a pre-dawn storm just to my north, two cells sliding in tandem that developed on the shoreline. I literally slept on this potential - only recalled the afternoon storms. I hated these because the lightning wasn't a joke - a visible but distant strike knocked my power out for 2 mins. The last time I lost power from any storm in April was 2009 for a few seconds. Other reason for my disdain is it was a troll storm; every time I looked away after watching for mins it immediately flashed. No rain. Was 9C feeling like 6.

On 4/5/2022 at 1:06 PM, Jonger said:

If I could move my kids, girlfriend and company to a sunny location tomorrow -- I would.

Very done with the clouds. Just feels like a waste of life.

 

This is a post that I'd write, lol. I even comment that since winter turns off my mind and motivation, its essentially just a waste of time and for dark overcast skies to perpetually continue deep into Spring is unacceptable. BTW I've tried everything under the stratus for treating SAD and nothing works - I'm not staying for winters I was done over a decade ago. I like the changing of the seasons but I'd give it up never to see another flake again. The biggest problem is the lack of sunlight though - today was incredible with clear skies til 3, I felt totally different but as the overcast rolled back in by late afternoon I felt like shit again! 100% correlation!

Hit 20C for the first time this year, blessed.

Best wx so far of the year on tap, temp is climbing fast and high set to 17C/63F with only the 3rd day of 2022 with no clouds  . Its like popping your head above water for air

https://www.kark.com/arkansas-storm-team-live-coverage/

"Catastrophic Tornado Likely" in their banner.

On 4/6/2022 at 4:58 PM, Iceresistance said:

Already saw it, it's CRAZY!

Keep in mind that it's 8 Days out, things will change

I haven't read on Mike's product yet, but that color table is suppose to match the SPC's outlook? That pink area doesn't represent a high risk type severity for all severe modes does it, if so I'd think something went wrong with the product! Its already changed to something reasonable however the former reminded me of the April 6-8 2006 event where there was this huge expanse of all severe modes that were also sig - an epic squall line further to the east than the Day 8 map. There was little difference between the 45% and 60% tor contours on the 7th. 

2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

gfs popped a 968 to mke

The low sticks around for 38 hours! If this fantasy (more like nightmare) run starts to get model support, I'm packing my bags. Maybe I should start now.

I like today's spring wx, isolated showers popping up with some nice clouds. Not bad in the temps department either.

High of 16C / 61F for today which is 3C higher than expected, close to the 4 over I was pining for.

I over-performed yesterday by 4C which is a welcome surprise, hoping for the same again today after a horrific weekend of dank. All my snow is gone.

When I checked the Day 4-8 SWO it looked like the same spots outlined for the third time in a row!

I woke up to a nice surprise of sunny skies and a temp far above what was predicted for 8am, 12C! Finally a forecast that busted far too low. Strangely the stations are all showing overcast curr obs. At one point I was expected to have 86 km/h gusts - so far there are a few strong breezes here and there but nothing much sustained 

26 minutes ago, Witness Protection Program said:

Kansas last night

 

Just saw that, must be one of the greatest lightning scenes I've ever seen  Doesn't seem real!

You can see the swathes of LES bands on sat from the last few days.