DDweatherman

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

At 1AM the low is 994 in Far Western VA.  Still a couple MB weaker than 0Z and a bit south.   Basically, no snow anywhere as of yet. 

It sounds like a weak nothing burger everywhere based on the NYC/NE threads.

2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Latest Rap totals

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024021215&fh=36&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

I'd lock that in a heartbeat. 

That's a fair move SE 

10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I love me some ICON,  I know, not a forum pleaser unfortunately. 

 

It did bring things south however, getting closer. It was our furthest north model. 

Just now, Ji said:

That's worse than 00z

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

That’s bad for most people on the east coast minus Philly to nyc and 6-8 is the max really

6z euro is almost too deamped like the nothing burner gem and uk runs 2-3 days ago 

Yep, and 2-4” for N and parts of CMD on 0z Euro. Made a nice south move. Doesn’t have heavy stuff like the other media over s pa/n Md but a nice swath. 

16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Not going to be my screen background.    Allegiant jets cloud land backwards at HGR with that little snow.  Pilots mocking the snow.

My wife and kids left on one of the allegiant flights from HGR today lol. They had to try that out since it was last minute, seems like ok value if you only check like 1 bag. 

@mitchnickcan you post 12z ukmet?

The question is what do we do if the nam looks like 18z again and the other models go south more? 
 

Mitch the gem including those off hour gem runs might be the worst model out there. Canadian had a non event and that has 12-18” north side of NYC and a foot in town. 
 

good news is if nyc gets a foot we probably snow 3-6 here lol 

I’m at 14” for the year in Carroll Valley 

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Could be a true forum divider - might be hours tomorrow night when north and west friends are ripping snow while those of us SE are hydroplaning on flooded roadways...

Makes you want one more shift like the gfs just did again, then we can all rejoice 

Gfs was a nice little s/se tick. Vort continued to be weaker and a bit more south out west and as it moved E. It was a nice improvement surprisingly. 

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

Yeah, all of us southerners could ultimately end up too far south. 

The RA/SN line folks who end up just on the good side will be having a blast…great rates, good gusts, low vis with fatties falling. 

6 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

That is pound me town right over MBY

I am watching runs to consider a chase up to Mohegan Sun, have some comp rooms available. Will probably be a game time decision.

15 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I told you that we shouldn't have made a second thread. 

We’d still be hall of famers in the MLB, and we have several more chances before we’d hit the Mendoza line

Yeah I held on hope probably too long for us on this one for snow, it will probably keep leaking north taking MDT and some other areas out of much snow. 

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Not at all saying this for controversy but the RGEM depiction would call for flood watches.   2-4" for much of the LSV (mostly rain)

Huge move north and a ton of qpf. What it probably means is the euro snow numbers in SNE could have legs 

3 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Nam was surprisingly good. It's holding on by a thread. Lol

Sadly just converging northward towards other guidance. Would be nice if NAM was the convergence zone, but with Euro/EPS bailing that was pretty much our last hope. UK and CMC are garbage models.

I think the NAM is going to have more of a clue and look more like the GFS/Euro just looking thru h24. Let's see if that's true. Little faster h5 vort and slightly north of last run. 

34 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Nah… it is. Caved

It's kind of a relief, no need to be further invested. I'm almost on the other side of the fence rooting for it to go way north lol

18 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

A helpful north trend on 12z eps for those rooting for it to go so far north we get dry slotted out of rain

12z eps isn’t out

Sorry we didn't win this one guys. I'll browse the runs as they come in, might chase this one up north if a run like the euro gets more support. Have free rooms at Mohegan but I think best corridor is Catskills through Springfield, Mass up through say Nashua if northern solutions end up being the winning camp. 

Yep, that’s it for the LSV folks near the M/D. Maybe PD storm will do something here.