Jump to content

DDweatherman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,275

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    That low position at sub 1000 is a good look!
  2. DDweatherman
    I don’t love that, but I do like the axis blizz posted above. If we have a 987 over ocean city Md we’re probably snowing even in this set up. A little more N/S interaction wouldn’t have been bad except where the features are now it would pull things a bit too north for us
  3. DDweatherman
    It was camps related at 12z it seemed, this frame is beautiful from 18z gefs. I did see low positions and OP was on northern edge
  4. DDweatherman
    That’s beautiful
  5. DDweatherman
  6. DDweatherman
    GEFS at 18z gets 4” line down to Baltimore. Op is on the northern side of the low positions envelope. someone throw up the WB if they get a chance to compare to 12z
  7. DDweatherman
    We hope it still is since the euro is closer and has been trending south along with its ensembles. Wagons south, there’s no way we can get 3 south trends in one winter right?
  8. DDweatherman
    Yeah 18z wasn’t worse than 12z other than h5/h7 low positioning and that was 25 miles difference. stronger low earlier dynamically got a few places more snow vs 12z, especially further E
  9. DDweatherman
    18z euro gonna be rockin
  10. DDweatherman
    Agreed. Low was just more intense on 18z. Actually brings heavier snow closer to m/d line in York county and Lanco than the last 2 runs
  11. DDweatherman
    In some ways, it did. H5&h7 axis are a few miles north, which we’d want to see go the other way. But, the low is in a similar position as 12z and more amped sooner with a 987 on DE coast. If this storm was 6 hours slower with that same evolution, it would be 6”+ M/D like north. there was a formidable ccb on 18z. If we can get the gfs a bit south like some of the other models at that intensity, it’ll show a primo outcome for most
  12. DDweatherman
    The more I look at 18z, it seems more of a hold. Might be gfs stopping the bleed and about to head back south a bit
  13. DDweatherman
    I was thinking it was worse than 12z noticeably, but it’s really not. Gives us hope it goes back the other way tonight like the euro and others have been.
  14. DDweatherman
    On that frame it’s really carbon copy of 12z, snow line is actually a bit more south in parts of PA and the low is at 988. If we could get euro’s precip axis with that low strength we’d be in business.
  15. DDweatherman
    New data coming at 1030 tonight thank god
  16. DDweatherman
    Great news is the gfs will start going back south at 0z given the way things go with these threads. And euro and friends will continue to beef up
  17. DDweatherman
    Gfs stinks, icon has come south a good bit. Gfs and icon now northern end of guidance, with nam euro uk ggem them all south
  18. DDweatherman
    @peribonca with the post delete on positive gfs changes. Good news is gfs is actually on north end of guidance minus the icon. And those two models stink.
  19. DDweatherman
    As do I, would have been tasty I believe
  20. DDweatherman
    Well, saw it this way. If 12z euro sucked we woulda shut it down then started this before the rest. Now if 12z euro still sucks, we just make the comeback here. If we overcome this mountain even in the slightest, this might be the go to method.
  21. DDweatherman
    Speaking of the UK, fresh off the press
  22. DDweatherman
    UK low is 993 right off OCMD, you'd think that wouldn't be so bad...
  23. DDweatherman
  24. DDweatherman
    12 z UKMET
  25. DDweatherman
    uh @WinterWxLuvr, here's the 12z GEFS mean.
×
×
  • Create New...