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gman

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Posts posted by gman

  1. Up to this point, I was trying to get my son and daughter in law to leave Chapel Hill and come here. Now it looks like there is just as much potential for worse weather here than in CH. I guess it will be Thursday before we know where it’s going after it hits near the N.C./SC line. 

  2. Our local WYFF guys are wondering if the disturbance just west of Key West might be enough to push Florence a little more east and north. That disturbance is moving north. They are not saying it will have an impact. They are only saying it’s something to keep an eye on. 

  3. Traveling to St. Peach next week so I wanted to read a detailed forecast discussion from the local NWS. This is all I got. 

    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
    904 AM EDT Fri Jun 15 2018
    
    .FOR THE MORNING UPDATE...
    High pressure will hold over the Florida peninsula today
    with weak onshore boundary layer flow. Sea breeze boundary
    will push inland during the late morning/early afternoon
    with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing over the
    coastal counties...with showers/thunderstorms pushing
    inland and increasing in areal coverage during the mid to
    late afternoon. Given the weak boundary layer flow, a few
    outflow boundaries may push back toward the coast during the
    late afternoon/early evening with a continued chance of
    showers/thunderstorms across the region. Best chance of rain
    will be south of the I-4 corridor across the interior
    peninsula. Shower and thunderstorm activity will gradually
    dissipate during the evening hours with skies becoming
    partly cloudy over west central and southwest Florida after
    midnight.
    

    My point with this post? Too often I take for granted the talented folks at GSP NWS. I want to take the time to thank them for their thoroughness in keeping us updated several times a day with detailed information. They are the best in the business. 

     

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  4. We got 2.10” of rain last night at my house, giving me hope for a positive change in the weather pattern (more rain shower chances). The WXSouth Facebook post this morning dashed my hope. 

    “Well there's major changes to the forecast since the last update. Models made a massive switch aloft in the flow pattern, and now instead of having a deep penetrating front come through next weekend, with widespread showers, instead a HEAT WAVE is on the way. The European  and GFS both leave that western trough in tact well out west, and that allows a Southeast ridge to build in starting Thursday and it grows this weekend and through much of next week. A ridge in this location with this kind of strength simply means HEAT and HUMIDITY.  Get your AC's ready.  Full breakdown of daily details is at my premium blog.
    The Euro and GFS has 90s prety widespread in GA and the Carolinas (as well as west Texas) then merges the heat dome to encompass the entire Southern US by Sunday, Monday and Tuesday of next week, and they show impressive numbers for middle of May.
    This will be a first time I can recall having so many lilies still not open yet, and plenty of Irises, and Azaleas and a few other perennials in bloom while there are this many consecutive days in the 90's.  I for one am not ready for this kind of heat, but then again, we seem to go from Winter to Summer a lot more now. The delayed Spring was nice while it lasted.”
    Image valid Sunday , map from PivotalWeather.

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