gman

Getting scary. Up to 5.50” already. Yards are filling up. I am afraid the winds are going to knock down a lot of trees. 

WYFF’s Chris Justice has his own new YouTube Channel. He is coming out with this detailed winter discussion at the end of this week. In the second part of this video (at the 10 minute mark), he discusses the possibility of snow for the southeast this winter. 

The hot and dry forecasts have turned into cloudy, warm and humid days. 

9 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Summer 2023: Hazy, Cool, and Smoky 

I hope the smoke is gone by the time summer hits. 

We have added another 1.64"so far today.  

We got 0.55 inches of rain today. Some areas of Greenville County along and just south of I-85 got over an inch. No one had any measurable rain in the forecast as of late yesterday. None of the computer models showed measurable rain until a slight chance after 3:00. It starring raining here about 4:00 this morning.  How could the short term forecast be that bad? 

4 hours ago, eyewall said:

This is the winter from hell. We are going to be in the mid 80's on Thursday.

It’s been a cold, windy and wet winter. The forecast for Thursday sounds like heaven to me. Bring it on! 

I think it is time to "stick a fork" in it. This one is done. 

Beautiful today. Sunny with a high of 58. We better enjoy this sunny day. It might be the last time we will see the sun until next Saturday. Depressing. 

The worst part of the system seems to be coming through Greenville now. We got about 10 minutes of heavy rain and some pea sized hail. The winds were not too bad, probably staying below gusts of 25 mph. Hopefully, the worst it through us. I hope it is no worse for those east and south of Greenville. 

We are already up to 3.20” of rain just since midnight, and it looks like the worst is still west of us. In looking at the radar, the front seems to be moving extremely slow toward the east, with the thunderstorms training toward the north and northeast. Am I seeing it correctly? If so, that is a scary and dangerous scenario for the Upstate of S.C. 

It was 45 degrees at 4:30 this morning at our house near Paris Mtn. State Park. It had dropped to 26 degrees by 6:00. It is now 23 degrees. The winds were scary, topping off with a 45 mph gust. It seems as though the worst of the winds are behind us, even though we will still get 25 mph gusts. We are already dripping our faucets.

The dry weather continues in western S.C. At my house, we've only had a half inch of rain in the last month. The long range forecast shows no measurable rain for at least the next 3 weeks. Does anyone see a pattern change that will give us some much needed moisture? 

Interesting article. “How a trusted weather model fumbled the forecast for Hurricane Ian.” https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/10/07/weather-models-hurricane-ian-gfs/

Okay folks. I am throwing in the towel for the Upstate of S.C. I don’t see us getting any rain from this storm. Hope I am wrong. 

The computer models continue to show jogs east for Ian. I would not be surprised to see very little rain in the extreme western half of Upstate SC. That includes Clemson. 

8 hours ago, jjwxman said:

FWIW… the Extended run of the 00z HRRR takes Ian even further into the Atlantic through hr48.




.

That model would give no rain for Upstate S.C., right ?

We’ve had 4.80” since 9:00 last night. That gives us 6.40” for the week. Drainage issues all over the Upstate. 

We just had storm that dumped an inch of rain in the past 30 minutes. Steady rain still coming down. Beautiful! 

I like the warm weather too, but a hard freeze is needed for the peach and apple farmers. Bring it on. 

3 minutes ago, Snow dog said:

Cant believe Justus would post that graphic (possible 8" in upstate).  It's what got him in trouble in his earlier years, and really hurt his reputation..

All he is doing is giving the viewers the possibilities. We are smart enough to know what he is doing and we appreciate his contributions to keeping us safe in the Upstate. Chris is one of the best in the business. 

Still light snow, but the sun is peaking through the clouds. 

3 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

The deform band appears to be weakening.  

Yes it does. In fact, the moisture west of us seems to be less every I look at the radar. Despite that, it’s been a beautiful storm. 

Snow mixing in with the sleet. It’s coming back!