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mimillman

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Everything posted by mimillman

  1. mimillman
    I think warmer temps aloft and less lake enhancement on Monday will be compensated by the fact its mostly an overnight event. And just in time as Tuesday rolls around, low passes to our south, temps are colder and lake enhancement can begin
  2. mimillman
    It’s still snowing over LOT
  3. mimillman
    If you’re in LOT or DVN you love the 18z euro. Hard to get much better than that. Widespread 8-14”, long duration event
  4. mimillman
    Thank the lord. It also doesn’t collapse QPF east as aggressively
  5. mimillman
    I find it hard to believe this can go further north with the block honestly. And I don’t live in Indianapolis so you know I mean it
  6. mimillman
    I don’t think we need to go there please. Horse has been long since dead
  7. mimillman
    Gotta say, and I hope for my sake I’m right, I think the north drift is done
  8. mimillman
    18z RGEM. Similar to the para GFS. It has some substantial lake plumes hitting the western shore at this time which would probably dump a couple additional inches in lucky spots.
  9. mimillman
    Oof
  10. mimillman
    It’ll be in northern LOT the way things are headed
  11. mimillman
    Welcome to Chicago
  12. mimillman
    Mt Holly hoisted watches 72 hours prior to 12/17 for the reasons you mentioned and it was a total bust around Philly. I don’t disagree with you, just saying it happens even when things look great.
  13. mimillman
    18z GEFS look great. Southern Iowa...wow
  14. mimillman
    Merits to the 18z GFS lake effect plume on Thursday?
  15. mimillman
    To be fair to LOT at least, onset of precipitation is later than previously modeled, looking more like Monday late afternoon/early evening. So a watch hoisted in 12 hours makes sense, it’ll probably end up happening in the wee hours of the AM as Ricky alluded to. As for eastern DVN, they’re probably coordinating with LOT
  16. mimillman
    Loving it
  17. mimillman
    Congrats to you
  18. mimillman
    I do not love the look on the RGEM or even the 12z euro for that matter in terms of orientation of the axis of heaviest snows. The RGEM is relatively alone for the time being but I would not want to see other models trend similarly.
  19. mimillman
    Off topic but just met the dog we’re adopting and my heart is melting. Sadly it’ll be after the storm so I won’t be able to frolic with her in the snow. Guess I’ll just settle for my wife
  20. mimillman
    To everyone else, I apologize if at times I seem a bit hot headed. I do love this hobby and really enjoy the debate that we have. The posts from many of you are very enjoyable to read and I’m very thankful that we have some great Mets on the board participating.
  21. mimillman
    We agree on something.
  22. mimillman
  23. mimillman
    I’m sorry, there is not a SINGLE piece of operational guidance that supports northern LOT underperforming to the degree you’re suggesting. You’ve been a harbinger of doom from the very start of this event, have refused to acknowledge trends opposed to your view, and quite frankly it’s getting tiring. I respect a Met tag and I’m sure you’re speaking from experience, but for the love of god back it up.
  24. mimillman
    The euro seems to want to tilt the axis of heaviest snow closer to SW to NE. I wouldn’t worry too much until it gets confirmation from other guidance, but it is concerning for both of us.
  25. mimillman
    Yea, keeps it going through Tuesday pretty much, interesting
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