HIPPYVALLEY

Significant tick east on the 18z rgem.  Not buying it.

Apparently neither are any of the NWS offices.  BOX has not updated map but Albany, Upton and GYX all look like updated maps (time sigs) that keep W NE well in the game.  I trust their collective ability to interpret models.  

LOL, live and die by the Euro out here. it doubles up every other model for snow in W MA.

upton upped totals again wow lol

ncep discussion really rode the Euro.

Can't help but feel once this thing starts cranking the Euro/Nam end up being more right than wrong.

Travel ban issued by Baker, starting at midnight

Statewide?

Thanks Chris and Scott on the airport update.  Doubt number 1 is the flight even leaves, doubt number 2 is I'm standby.  I may just call it a day and head home.

 

Worse than being stuck here at the airport while the model consensus is rapidly shifting this to being a mundane experience for GC.  Unless the EC remains steadfast, I'm going to go with <10" for the Pit with a huge and rapid  escalation as you head 50 miles toward HubbDave.

Lol, we are not getting under 10". I'm going with 12-16" out here as my guess.

hey Scott MPM got bumped but wanted me to ask you what the chances are they get him out on a 4:30 out of Hartford?

some of these runs this morning really have the I-91 crowd in MA riding the edge of good and great. I'm throwing my money on the Euro and spinning the wheel.

Ct already w/ pages long lists of schools with early dismissals and closings for today. Lol

BTV 4km WRF...

image.jpg

I'm not really buying into some of the models that are spitting out .25" qpf back here. That would only happen in a significant move E or in a wound up tighter moisture field. Not saying it couldn't happen but NWS certainly isn't going with those solutions.

Just a quick question from the UK. 

 

1) Do we have any live stream TV forecast stations covering the event constantly? TWC for example..but local.

Find a stream for a Boston channel: WCVB, WHDH, WBZ. NECN would work too.

Haven't even looked at Euro yet but BOX says game for on W MA!

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

353 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015

...A CRIPPLING AND POTENTIALLY HISTORIC BLIZZARD WILL IMPACT THE

AREA MAINLY FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY...LINGERING INTO EARLY

WEDNESDAY...

MAZ002>004-008>011-026-261700-

/O.CON.KBOX.WS.W.0003.150127T0000Z-150128T0600Z/

WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-

WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-

EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...

BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...

NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...AYER

353 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING

TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND

DRIFTING SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 20 TO 30 INCHES...

WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN

HOUR AT TIMES.

* TIMING...WHILE THE STORM IS EXPECTED LATE TODAY LINGERING INTO

EARLY WEDNESDAY...THE WORST OF THE STORM WILL BE TONIGHT

THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN WHITE-OUT

/ BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT TO NEAR IMPOSSIBLE AND LIFE-

THREATENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

* WINDS...NORTH-NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 TO

45 MPH. THE HEIGHT OF THE WINDS WILL BE LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO

TUESDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN AN AVERAGE OF 6 OR MORE

INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR FOR 8 OR MORE

INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. TRAVEL WILL BE SLOW AT BEST ON WELL

TREATED SURFACES...AND QUITE DIFFICULT ON ANY UNPLOWED OR

UNTREATED SURFACES.

ALL UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED BEGINNING MONDAY

AFTERNOON... TO ALLOW PEOPLE ALREADY ON THE ROAD TO SAFELY REACH

THEIR DESTINATION BEFORE THE HEAVY SNOW BEGINS...AND TO ALLOW

SNOW REMOVAL EQUIPMENT TO BEGIN TO CLEAR ROADS.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT

WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT

@NWSBOSTON

UKIE is terrific posted it on the banter thread by mistake. 

 

NOGAPs is now west too, so essentially total consensus with this thing running up 70

 

Maybe a little overdone with the western qpf cutoff seeing as I have to fill in for MPM's absence.  lol

Well the NYC forum has all but collapsed congrats on this historic storm while we head for the cliffs.

A supposed 20" correction to forecasts tends to deflate some weenies. I think they are bridge jumping a bit prematurely.

16/7 here high clouds starting to obscure the stars. Nice to finally have a system this year that has close to zero chance of tainting out here.

Radar and water vapor images look like precip moves into New England a little ahead of schedule?