David-LI

18 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

Euro is a big snowstorm for the whole region!

No it’s not. It’s big for MA, not our region.

How's Ukie looking?

Is that 18 hours of non stop light to moderate snow on the Canadian?

1 minute ago, kingbaus said:

Starting to lose hope for this storm in the NYC metro area.

My role of thumb is I don’t hope for anything until late December. Whatever comes before that is extra.

Funny how the GFS had snow for a while and not the euro, now they switched

28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

This is? 

This is a Miller B

That’s a textbook banana high on the euro

1 hour ago, BlizzardNYC said:

Might be a heads up to what the euro might do 

Euro map from the New England forums.

Would take it with a grain of salt, since that accumulation in our area seems to be from the initial front before it gets washed out.

10 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

 

I think these models are overdoing the warmth, and the fact that every time these models are too warm, nam seems to be much better in thermals I’d like to see that in the next day or two. I think we’re going to get a lot of snow out of this and even in the city could get a foot cause of the prolonging snows!

Bringing those NAM facts like it’s January 2016

Just now, Snow88 said:

Nope

What part?

Strong winds and snow 1 am Tuesday morning. Full blown blizzard in Boston. Their forum must be going wild.

Coast goes to snow around 7 pm Monday night

A foot of snow north and west

Not gonna look like a good run for snow

That cyclone on the GFS pulling a The Day After Tomorrow on us

euro with a coastal transfer more south this time but not much in terms of snow 

18 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The whole setup is sort of similar to 12/19/95.  That system didn’t track southeast, hence much higher amounts than this would produce but it was a product of a well timed blocked in an otherwise ugly pattern with marginal temps ahead of it 

I could be wrong but I quite can’t see the similarity in initial setup between the two of them besides them being Miller Bs

edit: in 95 the primary low was in Houston, this time it’s looking like it will cross Chicago

12z Canadian also going with a transfer off the coast solution.

One thing the models are in agreement, including last night euro, is a coastal transfer. Where that occurs will be key. 

7 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Suffolk County jackpot. That means this is real. I have the Phish concert at the Colliseum on Sunday. Hoping the snow doesn’t cancel the show

It doesn’t mean this is real. Other models are not in agreement with GFS solution. It will definitely change.

Does anyone have a clown map for the 12z GFS?  

12z GFS shows a coastal developing after that powerful cyclone moves through. Heavy snow next Monday. 

14 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

Nam looks great for 2-4

More like T-2

Channel 4 has a really great high frequency radar that makes it easier to spot where flurries might be falling.

Channel 4 High Frequency S Band weather radar

23 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

TEB reporting flurries now, anyone else seeing them?

Definitely possible as radar shows lake effect snow clouds to our northwest

Euro says no. Not even a trace.