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CryHavoc

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Posts posted by CryHavoc

  1. Here we go again, another potential day of severe weather targeting the deep south.  E/Central Texas/Central OK/LA/Sern MS in the crosshairs for Day 4, and extreme Sern MS/AL/SWern GA and the panhandle on tap for a round of rough weather on D5.

    Perhaps even more notable, the SPC is already talking about issuing Day 7 guidance for a 15% region for Monday/Tuesday, which would be April 26th and 27th.

    A 15% region on Day 7 is pretty ominous.

     

     

    day4prob.gifday5prob.gif

  2. On 3/30/2021 at 2:54 PM, eyewall said:

    That is impressive. I only wish it was shot in landscape. The amount of lightning is insane.

    Vertical orientation is fine for many applications, especially when your subject is much taller than it is wide, or when the perspective calls for a very narrow image.

    If they shot in landscape, chances are you wouldn't see the full extent of the lightning.

    https://shop.anseladams.com/collections/original-photographs-by-ansel-adams/products/monolith-the-face-of-half-dome-original

    If vertical shots were good enough for Ansel Adams, they're good enough to be used whenever the situation calls for it. :P

    • Like 1
  3. 5 hours ago, Chinook said:

    map produced by UStornadoes twitter feed, also most updated map by SPC

     

    NVxWqtq.jpg

    jfX4heq.jpg

    6 deaths is indeed tragic.

    But we've had high risk days now on consecutive weeks, one that verified with multiple violent tornadoes.

    I have to think it would have been so much worse had the experts not been on top of the outbreaks -- especially on 3/25.  Even if a tornado doesn't go through a populated area, it only needs to cross a freeway at the wrong time to encounter dozens of cars if people are unawares.  Overall pretty remarkable that there have been so few deaths on such an active early tornado season.

  4. Just now, BuffaloWeather said:

    Drones are not cheap either. That thing is probably toast. I have a Mavic drone and any water can cause permanent damage.

    Perhaps.  I've got a friend who's seriously into drones, and he makes some that are deceptively hardy -- actually built for wear and tear from the ground up.  They generally aren't as featured when it comes to camera movement/gimballing, but still.

  5. 1 hour ago, jpeters3 said:

    I would be incredibly surprised if this one wasn't also an EF-4 (or 5).

    I think an EF4 is all but guaranteed.  The question is whether it'll go to 5, really.  Some part of me doubts it -- I was almost certain the Bassfield tornado would have earned that rating, but the NWS seems extremely particular about what they consider EF5 damage.  Not a criticism, mind you, they know what they're doing, but I've been surprised at numerous storms that seemed to be a lock for EF5 not making the grade.

    Hopefully a revision will be made at some point to include more damage parameters, especially for those that happen over open countryside.



  6. I haven't seen it posted, but this is incredible.

    OTOH I don't know if I should spread this -- last thing we need is a bunch of drones becoming missiles because their owners got too close to the parent funnel.  These are probably the most intense winds I've seen a drone withstand.

    • Like 2
  7. 48 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

    Looks like preliminary high end EF3 for Newnan 

    received_1410975182571398.jpeg

    I'd be surprised if it's a high end EF3 on first blush that they don't find one or two instances of lower bound EF4 damage.  Those preliminary damage surveys sometimes upgrade later especially with stronger tornadoes.

  8. 2 minutes ago, DanLarsen34 said:

    I fear that the debris ball likely came from Franklin getting hit. 

    That almost seems certain.

    I really hope we don't have anyone on the forums who left the thread early thinking it was over and come on here tomorrow talking about how the high risk didn't verify.  Several tornadoes that I think are all going to end up as more significant than last week's storms, and numerous strong to violent long tracked tornadoes.  The event may not have hit the absolute ceiling of potential but it's, IMO, going to wind up as one of the most significant outbreaks of the past 5-7 years.

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