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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. Cools back of at 21z...looks like 18z is the closest it gets to DC north
  2. Close at 18z Monday. 0 bisects DC, sfc still south...moderate to heavy precip ongoing
  3. Moderate to heavy at 7am Monday...thermals still ok 10 am, moderate to heavy....thermals inching north, but DC still north of it
  4. about to get moderate at 9z. thermals are fine
  5. Precip on the doorstep at 3z...starts shortly after
  6. S/w compares about the same as 6z. Confluence is just a smidge stronger so far
  7. Very early impressions...vort amp'd a hair...confluence is a hair stronger and held back a little
  8. GFS go time! May the odds be in our favor
  9. Back to snow at hr 84 with more precip prob to follow the 84 hour panel
  10. Good run, thermals get close for DC at hr 81...SFC freezing well south...the uppers are close
  11. Heavy at 78...SFC freezing and thermals are ok for DC north
  12. Moderate to heavy at 15z Monday
  13. Definitely a little dynamic s/w. Height lines are about the same..maybe a hair north. Would like to see the confluence a little more stout/souther on the NAM
  14. He's a met, because he has a....met tag. Normally conservative and pretty good. Long time member.
  15. Ok, so NAM running. Didn't see much talk of 6z...wasn't bad from what I could tell. Anyway, so far, a little more amp'd out front.
  16. Approved. You can stay. Honestly surprised at the bullish call.
  17. That’s what it always does. North crew panics, newbs down here spike the ball and we end up with lesser amounts/mixing and hill folk get slammed. That’s what it’s funny to me when both sides act surprised. I still think we got another day and a half of see-sawing.
  18. I swear, if I’m that goddamn light gray….
  19. So for most of the forum, even north...honestly you gotta like our position in the model spray so far. Would be nice to have the GFS around...but it's the northern limit and UK is the southern limit...Euro is roughly in between
  20. just posted that. THis is likely good for everybody at this point because it's gonna shift back north
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