I'm actually not mad at the Euro this far out.
Has a juiced up storm just to our south and plenty of cold air. I'd roll the dice on this one. Common theme is there is storm on the map, we got the could..no way we're gonna nail down the extent of the have or have nots rn
I think most here get it, but there are a few who live and die by models post. Glad you realize what the deal is with pbp. When we get under 100, we can start getting serious..under 72, rev up the engine
Just saying....doing pbp doesn't mean I'm endorsing it or sweating any model...especially past 100 hours....shit, 72 hours these days. Nobody especially should rise and fall based on a model that moved a storm like 1000 miles over 3 runs. But they tend to do that beyond D4
So, gonna be cautious here because the H5 map looks like it could turn things around in later panels...we'll see
but as of now, that cold is killing our asses
Sorry yall, pbp is going to be even worse than it already is from me today because i'm half dead. But yeah, shit is happening down south and expanding...but that cold seems suppressive so far
I thought Grey was from PA. Man, don't pay attention to me for a while today. I need to recover. Even this pbp gonna be shakey
So, yeah gfs coming in with an amp'd s/w out west vs 6z