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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. But seriously...at least you'll have the better maps. Was hard to tell the QPF on those SV panels, but it looked a lot better than I thought
  2. you late homie. ALthough the maps are worth the wait
  3. Oh man...this is pretty interesting. still decent snows ongoing at 132 and more probably after that. Don't know how that happened yet
  4. Wait a minute..might be adding more on, lol Still going at 132
  5. It's definitely good. It's just hard telling QPF with these shitty maps. I don't call it unless I'm 100% sure.
  6. It's going to be better than 12z for sure...just not sure it's going to be FOLKS worthy
  7. Be careful..that light blue is....LIGHT
  8. 114 next shade of green, but those darks are still just south...come on baby
  9. Ok, light precip over the area at 108..heavies south and west...climb dammit
  10. Now let's see if it translates down the line. GFS is liable to still fuck this up
  11. It's coming out much more than 12z...and is in line with other guidance lookswise
  12. GFS looking better out west with the baja wave...further east at 66
  13. Looks like a hold? Who knows. It's not even done at the end of the run
  14. Look, you’ll never stand out being a follower. My recommendation? 32”-47” with lollies of 50 in favored areas.
  15. Yay, meeting time at work. Will return for the GFS/ICON. Hopefully.
  16. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 314 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Confidence is continuing to increase for a significant winter storm for the region Saturday into Sunday. Additionally, snow accumulations increase for upslope snow showers in the Alleghenies Wednesday night. && .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Significant winter storm expected across the Mid- Atlantic states late Saturday through Sunday bringing widespread snow. Arctic high pressure will build into the area Friday afternoon into Saturday morning providing the source for very cold temperatures this weekend into early next week. - 2) Accumulating snow is likely along the Alleghenies Wednesday night through Thursday morning. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Significant winter storm expected across the Mid-Atlantic states late Saturday through Sunday bringing widespread snow. Arctic high pressure will build into the area Friday afternoon into Saturday morning providing the source for very cold temperatures this weekend into early next week. Broad upper troughing will remain established across the Great Lks into the northern Mid-Atlantic through at least early next week. Southern stream energy is expected to interact with very cold air to the north to produce moderate to heavy snow across the area this weekend. Looking at most recent model data, the 12Z GFS and 12Z NAM remain the furthest south and weakest solutions as it leaves more energy cut off while the 12Z EC and Canadian models show more energy getting absorbed into the northern stream. The 12Z EPS and AIFS are more consistent with their deterministic runs while the GFES shows a very different solution to its deterministic run. Will continue to highlight a significant winter storm affecting the area this weekend in our Hazardous Weather Outlook.
  17. Come out back, let me holla at you real quick
  18. I mean it really is the only reasonable call living in this area. Never go big this far out...and for us 6 to 10 is MECS
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