Jump to content

stormtracker

Administrators
  • Posts

    61,370
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. so precip is increasing from our SW and starts light snow around 12z Sat, and just flies through by like 17z or so. Doesn't seem like much of anything at all. I'd be surprised if it's more than 2"
  2. Ya just really hate to see that northern vort outrunning the southern one, which is doing...all in all, no doubt the height rise is better out front. Keep expectations in check. Still has that other SW to NE tail look. Ugh
  3. h5 presentation improved just a bit, nothing major...heights are a tad higher out front. Just not sure it'll be impactful down the line so far
  4. All in all, about the same so far...northern vort digs a little bit more...but sw vort is just a tad farther west. Still looks like it's gonna have positive tilted tail
  5. Ill give you shout outs from now on in the pbp
  6. So yeah...reset our expectations and this could be a decent little event. I like it.
  7. Not bad for city dwellers S and E. Northern crew just needs slight adjustments.
  8. Yeah, i-95 is the northwest extent of 4-6. Further west is 2-4. Northern neck has the most
  9. This might actually get us to what we want...3-5 fer..
  10. well hold a minute...moderate makes it up to DC. Like literally I-95 marks the northern extent of moderate
  11. moderate just to the south over northern neck. I think that's the brick wall rn
  12. Precip actually angled a hair better vs 6z, but still don't expect any significant changes wrt out amounts
  13. Ok, gotta just mainly look at SFC...gulf low is obviously still there. Let's see what, if anything, we can get out of it
  14. GFS just continues to be farther off synch so far. H5 look degraded a bit vs 6z so far
  15. It's just setting our expectations...or resetting them at this point.
  16. Id take it at this point. Gonna see what 12z shows, but I’m starting to get the feeling that this or like 5” is our max upside. it’s getting too late in the game for massive changes that we need for double digits i think. Not impossible but window closing fast.
  17. So for all that, it looks like it's gonna be just about the same as 18z. Sigh
  18. So its a positive change, but still appears as though the northern vort will run out ahead, but it did take a step toward a stronger diggier northern vort. There is more interaction than 18z, but not not as much as the GFS
×
×
  • Create New...