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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. Same...but ICON portends something good. Nice shift south.
  2. I mean, this is pretty great considering we weren't expecting much. Steady snow here
  3. It's nice to look at, but there's 0 chance it happens like that. I can hope and wish tho
  4. The Para is ridiculous. Lol. Canadian like with that double tap.
  5. Ha. Damn, I was on it. ANyway, looks like the Low is tucked on the coast, literally raining on our parade. But man, at least it's another fail to track. Problem is, now we WANT the blocking/confluence to be stout. Or we need faster movement of the s/w Ugh
  6. No, that's not what I'm hmm about. Euro looks like it's heading for something big at 156
  7. Old news. The new hotness is Sunday. We like our fails spaced 2 days apart.
  8. Yeah, I was eyeballing at first joking. But it is a pretty significant jump, relatively.
  9. Agreed. 0z had no accums south of you. Now I'm in the zone
  10. No joke..Euro is a little more snowier vs 0z. Rain snow line is like 10 feet further south. Actually, in all seriousness...comes in as all snow for DC area. Before it was a mix at 0z
  11. You can come on up to this tundra at 300 feet
  12. Thankfully the Euro should swoop in here momentarily to kill hope. Hope is a dangerous thing.
  13. I think so. I think I have them in an old photobucket account. Now to figure out the username and password
  14. I'll take the CMC and call it a winter. Seriously. I'm tired.
  15. LWX seems kinda nervous rea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1030 AM EST Mon Jan 25 2021 .SYNOPSIS... A frontal system will bring wintry precipitation to the region this evening into Tuesday. Another system may impact our region late Wednesday into early Thursday. High pressure builds into the early parts of this weekend before another system potentially impacts our region on Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Forecast confidence on p-type and specific snow/ice amounts continues to be lacking due to spread among guidance on temps aloft, isothermal layer seen on model soundings, and very cold sounding seen this morning at IAD. Tried to maintain as much as consistency with previous forecast as possible, however, some adjustments were made to the 90th percentile or reasonable worst case scenario for snow amounts now showing a max of 5 inches across the north and 2-3 inches (reasonable worst case) for areas around the Capital Beltway. This is to account for the higher than normal uncertainty in the forecast. Did also some adjustments to the precip onset graphic, a little quicker in the southwest and a little slower in the northeast mainly after 7PM. QPF amounts in the 18Z-00Z today time frame were also lowered somewhat in the southwest based on 06Z ECMWF ensembles and slow progression on precip on regional radars.
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