stormtracker
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Everything posted by stormtracker
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There is a storm thread.
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Thread is open
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Yeah, it's def further north with the low and furthest north of guidance. Still snows over us. At least in one panel.
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Yes , I see your point. The storm may see this thread and decide to turn back.
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Was trying to wait for the 12z suite to complete. Gonna make one soon. Basically waiting for the Euro to drop one in the punch bowl.
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Ok, you know the drill. Let's keep this thread high and tight. I understand there will be some light banter. Let's keep even that to a bare minimum. The mods are going to be extra heavy in this thread, so if you have complaints, head over to the banter thread and talk it out. 12z guidance was good, except for the Euro. But we knew that was gonna happen. Other than that, let's reel this one in.
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Let’s hold off. 18z at least or after the complete 12z suite
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I think we can still improve, although I’d take this and run with it.
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GFS markedly better
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Step back on the GFS looks like wrt to initial slug of moisture
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Hopefully the Chiefs are an allegory for our winter. Starts out like a debacle, but then....
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Man, this game right here...
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This is what's keeping me hanging on to an otherwise hopeless situation. Yeah, it's straight out of the weenie playbook, but CAD does tend to get stronger the closer we get to the event. Doesn't always hold true, but for the most part..... I'm going to hang in there until it gets into NAM range. No, seriously. Not for specifics, but NAM does tend to model CAD pretty well.
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No...its been going downhill every run since 6z...tomorrow it will show us at 80 degrees Let's talk tomorrow, this time.
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It's one run guys.
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Yeah, GFS is in the hose 'em phase.
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? What panic?
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It definitely is. Your whining aside, I wouldn't have deleted that comment if you made it though. I'm pretty lax with stuff until specific event threads. Ask anyone here, I barely moderate this place because I'm not qualified. I ask the moderators to moderate me!
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Guys, we really should be looking at the period of March 23-25th, 2021 for the real storm.
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Agreed, 100%. Don't understand the punting on any potential for the "next" potential after that may never even come.
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Damn, those sfc temps tho. Damn. 30's all the way into central NC. And not just 30's...but freezing. And past those panels, could be a classic situation where models try to scour out LL cold too early also.
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Yeah, the CAD digs down in there a lot better. We stay more snow/sleet than zr. If the period of rain looks shorter.
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Now hold on here....
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I agree actually. I like how the low is getting shoved s and e with every one. Of we lined all the ducks up we’d be set for a pretty classic event with CAD. Like Bob said, the transient nature of the NS is the tricky part. We need triple 7s
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GFS is less of a front end snow thump. Primariy low is further South and East, making for a stronger warm surge. If we had a stronger block.... Still a long way to go and I doubt this is going to be the final track.
