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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. Not even close to the 18z GFS. This model is stupid. (until it shows what we want)
  2. Yeah, as the main slug of moisture before the wave starts moving up, the front is just stuck in WV and even moves NW just a tiny bit
  3. the move south is there, but much more so over KY, OH. Where we need it to get souther is just held up..
  4. I actually hope I'm wrong, so don't jump down my throat. Anyway, sfc freezing like made a move S and E toward the area vs 18z...I'm at 69...heh
  5. heights in the most important part are not lower...compare the h5 maps between 18z and 0z. Ill die on that hill. Maybe a met can solve. 60 vs 66. If I'm wrong, I'll admit it, no problem.
  6. Theres some light precip at 54 with what looks like CAD, with shallow cold but won't hold.
  7. I am. Let's see what happens. Lower heights should allow the cold to press in a little quicker
  8. Can't totally agree with that. I know where you're looking..I'm looking at our latitude and north. We'll see
  9. Looking at the H5 on the NAM, can't say I'm encouraged. Heights slightly higher at 30
  10. Where are the SREF people? It's not a real future fail without those being brought out.
  11. Got a thread in the chamber, with a New England style title and everything. Check for it shortly.
  12. Usually when the GFS doubles down against all the other models it ends up right. lol no it doesn’t. Just saying a weenie hope-ium
  13. I'm really doing pbp on the 72 hour NAM. I need stronger edibles tonight.
  14. Definitely further S and E of 12z run tho...still not quite GFS tho. So maybe we got a legit trend here?
  15. lol, NAM has a small sliver of CAD still hanging on at 63.. no other model has that. Don't think it means much tho...it';s shrinking and the surge from the SW is gonna kill it.
  16. 18z NAM is in between it's 12z run and 12z GFS with position of sfc freezing line
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