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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. moderate frozen going on at 84. freezing line in St mary's county. 0 850 line in Frederick
  2. Further south so far, moderate precip...Freezing line on DC south line. Before, with 18z run, it was north of DC into upper mont. county
  3. GFS staring danger in the face with a middle finger so far. Not backing down
  4. ok, 66 .if anything the freezing line is a hair south of where it was at 18z
  5. Seems like noise so far, but 0z axis is tilted just a lil more than 18z. otherwise, they remain identical
  6. GFS doesn't seem to be backing down...almost twin copy of 18z so far at sfc
  7. Not even close to the 18z GFS. This model is stupid. (until it shows what we want)
  8. Yeah, as the main slug of moisture before the wave starts moving up, the front is just stuck in WV and even moves NW just a tiny bit
  9. the move south is there, but much more so over KY, OH. Where we need it to get souther is just held up..
  10. I actually hope I'm wrong, so don't jump down my throat. Anyway, sfc freezing like made a move S and E toward the area vs 18z...I'm at 69...heh
  11. heights in the most important part are not lower...compare the h5 maps between 18z and 0z. Ill die on that hill. Maybe a met can solve. 60 vs 66. If I'm wrong, I'll admit it, no problem.
  12. Theres some light precip at 54 with what looks like CAD, with shallow cold but won't hold.
  13. I am. Let's see what happens. Lower heights should allow the cold to press in a little quicker
  14. Can't totally agree with that. I know where you're looking..I'm looking at our latitude and north. We'll see
  15. Looking at the H5 on the NAM, can't say I'm encouraged. Heights slightly higher at 30
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