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stormtracker

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Everything posted by stormtracker

  1. of course something interesting happens when I'm not paying attention
  2. Nice burst of heavy snow on the way out around 7pm Monday
  3. I think that WB algorithm might be off. It seems sensitive as hell with p-types
  4. Yeah baby, living dangerously and on the edge. We gotta get close to get the goods in DC metro. We're prob gonna sleet at some point lowlanders, accept it.
  5. Shitty SV maps has like 12-15". but we know that's shit because there's gonna be some mixing for a good bit of us verbatim?
  6. Kinda weird with the thermals I'm seeing on SV..but whatevs. This seems like a soundings check
  7. Still going at 1am Tuesday with a burst of moderate snow centered right over DC and Loudon
  8. 18z Monday is the peak of any warmth, so check soundings for then
  9. Light to moderate still ongoing at 7pm Monday, thermals ok
  10. Cools back of at 21z...looks like 18z is the closest it gets to DC north
  11. Close at 18z Monday. 0 bisects DC, sfc still south...moderate to heavy precip ongoing
  12. Moderate to heavy at 7am Monday...thermals still ok 10 am, moderate to heavy....thermals inching north, but DC still north of it
  13. about to get moderate at 9z. thermals are fine
  14. Precip on the doorstep at 3z...starts shortly after
  15. S/w compares about the same as 6z. Confluence is just a smidge stronger so far
  16. Very early impressions...vort amp'd a hair...confluence is a hair stronger and held back a little
  17. GFS go time! May the odds be in our favor
  18. Back to snow at hr 84 with more precip prob to follow the 84 hour panel
  19. Good run, thermals get close for DC at hr 81...SFC freezing well south...the uppers are close
  20. Heavy at 78...SFC freezing and thermals are ok for DC north
  21. Definitely a little dynamic s/w. Height lines are about the same..maybe a hair north. Would like to see the confluence a little more stout/souther on the NAM
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